Latest polls
The 400 most recent general-election polls between this year's actual nominees, plus the generic ballot, out of 2,636 collected for the 2026 cycle. When one poll publishes several versions of a race (likely and registered voters, with and without minor candidates), it appears once: the most election-like population, averaged across versions. Hypothetical matchups are left out.
Race polls and the generic ballot
Fifty at a time. Filter by office, or type a state, a candidate, or a pollster.
| Dates | Race | Pollster | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | As published | Adjusted | Share of average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | New Hampshire Governor Cinde Warmington v. Kelly Ayotte | YouGov | 1,520 LV | 40 | 49 | R+9 | R+9.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 21% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | Texas Senate James Talarico v. Ken Paxton | YouGov | 3,625 LV | 50 | 44 | D+6 | D+5.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 6.2% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 5 | Generic congressional ballot | Ipsos | 3,526 RV | 44 | 37 | D+7 | D+7.4 moved 0.4 toward D | 1.7% | source |
| Oct 2–5 | Generic congressional ballot | YouGov | 995 LV | 51.5 | 40 | D+12 | D+11.1 moved 0.4 toward R | 3.0% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | YouGov | 3,813 LV | 45 | 47 | R+2 | R+2.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 16% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | Texas Governor Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott | YouGov | 3,625 LV | 48 | 47 | D+1 | D+0.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 7.4% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | New Hampshire Senate Chris Pappas v. John E. Sununu | YouGov | 1,520 LV | 51 | 43 | D+8 | D+7.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 13% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody | YouGov | 3,813 LV | 44 | 49 | R+5 | R+5.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 16% | source |
| Sep 24 – Oct 4 | Kansas Senate Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall | YouGov | 2,255 LV | 48 | 45 | D+3 | D+2.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 14% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 4 | Generic congressional ballot | Morning Consult | 17,659 LV | 50 | 43 | D+7 | D+6.8 moved 0.2 toward R | 2.6% | source |
| Oct 1–4 | New York Governor Kathy Hochul v. Bruce Blakeman | Marist College | 1,361 RV | 53 | 42 | D+11 | D+10.2 moved 0.8 toward R | 12% | source |
| Sep 24 – Oct 4 | Kansas Governor Cindy Holscher v. Ty Masterson | YouGov | 2,255 LV | 44 | 47 | R+3 | R+3.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 18% | source |
| Oct 1–4 | Maine Governor Hannah Pingree v. Bobby Charles | Marist College | 1,505 RV | 52 | 40 | D+12 | D+11.2 moved 0.8 toward R | 8.6% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 4 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | YouGov | 3,949 LV | 49 | 48 | D+1 | D+0.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 5.2% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 4 | Michigan Governor Jocelyn Benson v. John James | YouGov | 3,949 LV | 48 | 45 | D+3 | D+2.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 7.6% | source |
| Oct 1–4 | Maine Senate Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins | Marist College | 1,505 RV | 51 | 47 | D+4 | D+3.2 moved 0.8 toward R | 4.6% | source |
| Sep 24 – Oct 3 | Nebraska Senate Dan Osborn v. Pete Ricketts | YouGov | 1,809 LV | 48 | 47 | D+1 | D+0.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 20% | source |
| Oct 2–3 | Georgia Senate Jon Ossoff v. Mike Collins | Wedgewood Polls | 600 LV | 55 | 45 | D+10 | D+10.3 moved 0.3 toward D | 15% | source |
| Sep 24 – Oct 3 | Nebraska Governor Lynne Walz v. Jim Pillen | YouGov | 1,809 LV | 43 | 44 | R+1 | R+1.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 23% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 3 | South Carolina Governor Jermaine Johnson v. Alan Wilson | Resonance Media | 638 RV | 35 | 45 | R+10 | R+10.0 | 45% | source |
| Oct 2–3 | Georgia Governor Keisha Lance Bottoms v. Rick Jackson | Wedgewood Polls | 600 LV | 49 | 51 | R+2 | R+1.7 moved 0.3 toward D | 17% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 2 | Generic congressional ballot | ActiVote | 1,000 LV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | D+4.2 moved 0.2 toward D | 3.0% | source |
| Oct 1–2 | Florida’s 16th District Kelly Kirschner v. Sydney Gruters | Public Policy PollingDEM.-ALIGNED | 530 RV | 39 | 43 | R+4 | R+7.1 moved 3.1 toward R | 57% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 2 | Generic congressional ballot | YouGov | 1,572 LV | 54 | 45 | D+9 | D+8.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 1.4% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 1 | Kansas Senate Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall | Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED | 1,095 LV | 44 | 44 | Even | D+3.0 moved 3.0 toward D | 14% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 1 | Texas Governor Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott | The New York Times/Siena College | 615 LV | 49 | 46 | D+3 | D+3.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 7.6% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 1 | Illinois Senate Juliana Stratton v. Don Tracy | Public Policy PollingDEM.-ALIGNED for Chicago News Weekly | 569 LV | 49 | 36 | D+13 | D+9.9 moved 3.1 toward R | 100% | source |
| Oct 1 | Arizona’s 1st District Amish Shah v. Jay Feely | FirstStrategic Communications and Public Affairs | 400 LV | 44 | 42 | D+2 | D+2.0 | 50% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 1 | Wisconsin’s 1st District Mitchell Berman v. Bryan Steil | Impact ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED for House Majority PAC | 500 LV | 48 | 47 | D+1 | R+2.3 moved 3.3 toward R | 51% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 1 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 625 LV | 41 | 48 | R+7 | R+6.4 moved 0.6 toward D | 18% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 1 | Illinois Governor JB Pritzker v. Darren Bailey | Public Policy PollingDEM.-ALIGNED for Chicago News Weekly | 569 LV | 54 | 34 | D+20 | D+16.9 moved 3.1 toward R | 100% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 1 | Iowa Governor Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn | The New York Times/Siena College | 606 LV | 52 | 41 | D+11 | D+11.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 14% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 1 | Iowa Senate Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson | The New York Times/Siena College | 606 LV | 47 | 48 | R+1 | R+0.9 moved 0.1 toward D | 8.5% | source |
| Sep 23 – Oct 1 | Maine Governor Hannah Pingree v. Bobby Charles | YouGov | 1,133 LV | 56 | 44 | D+12 | D+11.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 13% | source |
| Sep 27 – Oct 1 | Maine Senate Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins | Wedgewood Polls | 400 LV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | D+4.3 moved 0.3 toward D | 6.9% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 1 | Maine Senate Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins | Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED | 1,091 LV | 46 | 46 | Even | D+3.0 moved 3.0 toward D | 7.3% | source |
| Sep 23 – Oct 1 | Maine Senate Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins | YouGov | 1,136 LV | 50 | 50 | Even | R+0.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 7.1% | source |
| Oct 1 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | Mitchell Research & Communications | 682 LV | 46 | 41 | D+5 | D+5.0 | 5.3% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 1 | Ohio Governor Amy Acton v. Vivek Ramaswamy | The New York Times/Siena College | 616 LV | 49 | 45 | D+4 | D+4.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 17% | source |
| Oct 1 | Michigan Governor Jocelyn Benson v. John James | Mitchell Research & Communications | 682 LV | 46 | 39 | D+7 | D+7.0 | 7.7% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 1 | South Carolina’s 1st District Nancy Lacore v. Jenny Costa Honeycutt | co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED for Thank You For Your Attention To This Matter PAC | 837 LV | 40 | 46 | R+6 | R+1.4 moved 4.6 toward D | 55% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 1 | Ohio Senate (special) Sherrod Brown v. Jon Husted | The New York Times/Siena College | 616 LV | 49 | 46 | D+3 | D+3.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 10% | source |
| Oct 1 | Arizona’s 1st District Amish Shah v. Jay Feely | FirstStrategic | 400 LV | 44.4 | 41.6 | D+3 | D+2.8 | 50% | source |
| Sep 26 – Oct 1 | Generic congressional ballot | Centerline Research & Strategy | 930 LV | 50 | 42 | D+8 | D+8.0 | 2.7% | source |
| Sep 24 – Oct 1 | Alaska Governor Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins v. Bernadette Wilson | The New York Times/Siena College | 504 LV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | D+4.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 59% | source |
| Sep 24 – Oct 1 | Alaska Senate Mary Peltola v. Dan S. Sullivan | The New York Times/Siena College | 504 LV | 50 | 43 | D+7 | D+7.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 18% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 1 | Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 625 LV | 40 | 50 | R+10 | R+9.4 moved 0.6 toward D | 17% | source |
| Sep 28–30 | Iowa Senate Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson | Rasmussen Reports | 1,048 LV | 47 | 43 | D+4 | D+4.2 moved 0.2 toward D | 7.4% | source |
| Sep 22–30 | Kansas Senate Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall | The New York Times/Siena College | 605 LV | 45.5 | 46 | R+1 | R+0.4 moved 0.1 toward D | 14% | source |
| Sep 28–30 | Virginia’s 6th District Beth Macy v. Ben Cline | co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED | 791 LV | 29 | 59 | R+30 | R+25.4 moved 4.6 toward D | 100% | source |
LV: likely voters. RV: registered voters. A: all adults. “Adjusted” is the published margin after removing the sponsor shift and the pollster’s measured house effect; the small print says how far that moved the poll. Dem.-aligned and Rep.-aligned mark polls paid for by a party, a campaign, or an allied group, or taken by a firm whose published work is mostly for one side. They are shifted by the average lean of such polls, then counted at full weight.