Latest polls
The 400 most recent general-election polls between this year's actual nominees, plus the generic ballot, out of 3,194 collected for the 2026 cycle. When one poll publishes several versions of a race (likely and registered voters, with and without minor candidates), it appears once: the most election-like population, averaged across versions. Hypothetical matchups are left out.
Race polls and the generic ballot
Fifty at a time. Filter by office, or type a state, a candidate, or a pollster.
| Dates | Race | Pollster | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | As published | Adjusted | Share of average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20–31 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | ActiVote | 400 LV | 48 | 52 | R+4 | R+3.9 moved 0.1 toward D | 8.3% | source |
| Oct 23–31 | Illinois Governor JB Pritzker v. Darren Bailey | ActiVote | 400 LV | 59 | 41 | D+18 | D+18.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 61% | source |
| Oct 17–31 | California Governor Xavier Becerra v. Steve Hilton | ActiVote | 400 LV | 63 | 37 | D+26 | D+26.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 15% | source |
| Oct 22–30 | Generic congressional ballot | ActiVote | 2,000 LV | 53.5 | 46.5 | D+7 | D+7.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 5.2% | source |
| Oct 27–30 | Texas Governor Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott | Kreate StrategiesREP.-ALIGNED | 900 LV | 47 | 49 | R+2 | D+1.4 moved 3.4 toward D | 6.3% | source |
| Oct 27–30 | Texas Senate James Talarico v. Ken Paxton | Kreate StrategiesREP.-ALIGNED | 900 LV | 48 | 45 | D+3 | D+6.4 moved 3.4 toward D | 5.4% | source |
| Oct 26–30 | Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 852 RV | 45 | 49 | R+4 | R+3.9 moved 0.1 toward D | 4.7% | source |
| Oct 26–30 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | Big Data Poll | 1,067 LV | 42.5 | 45.5 | R+3 | R+3.0 | 7.6% | source |
| Oct 26–30 | Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody | Big Data Poll for 1776 Law Center and Public Polling Project | 1,067 LV | 43.5 | 50 | R+7 | R+6.5 | 7.8% | source |
| Oct 26–30 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 852 RV | 45 | 51 | R+6 | R+5.9 moved 0.1 toward D | 4.6% | source |
| Oct 21–30 | Illinois Senate Juliana Stratton v. Don Tracy | ActiVote | 400 LV | 56 | 44 | D+12 | D+12.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 61% | source |
| Oct 28–29 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 LV | 45 | 49 | R+4 | R+3.5 moved 0.5 toward D | 7.8% | source |
| Oct 23–29 | Texas Governor Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott | ActiVote | 400 LV | 47.9 | 52.1 | R+4 | R+4.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 6.4% | source |
| Oct 27–29 | South Carolina Senate Annie Andrews v. Darline Graham | Patinkin Research StrategiesDEM.-ALIGNED for Project V.O.T.E | 500 LV | 48 | 43 | D+5 | D+1.2 moved 3.8 toward R | 15% | source |
| Oct 23–29 | Nebraska Governor Lynne Walz v. Jim Pillen | The New York Times/Siena College | 809 LV | 40 | 53 | R+13 | R+13.3 moved 0.3 toward R | 20% | source |
| Oct 23–29 | Nebraska Senate Dan Osborn v. Pete Ricketts | The New York Times/Siena College | 809 LV | 43 | 49 | R+6 | R+6.3 moved 0.3 toward R | 19% | source |
| Oct 28–29 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | Rasmussen Reports | 745 LV | 49 | 44 | D+5 | D+5.5 moved 0.5 toward D | 6.2% | source |
| Oct 26–29 | Alaska Senate Mary Peltola v. Dan S. Sullivan | Alaska Survey Research | 1,326 LV | 51 | 49 | D+2 | D+1.9 moved 0.1 toward R | 26% | source |
| Oct 28–29 | Louisiana Senate Jamie Davis v. Julia Letlow | Garin-Hart-Yang Research GroupDEM.-ALIGNED for Davis' campaign | 502 LV | 45 | 45 | Even | R+3.7 moved 3.7 toward R | 91% | source |
| Oct 28–29 | Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs | GrayHouseREP.-ALIGNED for the campaign of Elijah Norton | 500 LV | 50 | 45 | D+5 | D+8.7 moved 3.7 toward D | 15% | source |
| Oct 28–29 | Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 LV | 43 | 49 | R+6 | R+5.5 moved 0.5 toward D | 8.1% | source |
| Oct 27–28 | Arkansas Senate Hallie Shoffner v. Tom Cotton | GrayHouseREP.-ALIGNED for America One Policies | 509 LV | 39 | 55 | R+16 | R+12.3 moved 3.7 toward D | 56% | source |
| Oct 24–28 | Minnesota Senate Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya | SurveyUSA | 714 LV | 48 | 41 | D+7 | D+7.0 | 16% | source |
| Oct 28 | Iowa Governor Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn | co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED | 1,020 LV | 50 | 45 | D+5 | D+8.9 moved 3.9 toward D | 15% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Texas Governor Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott | Quantus InsightsREP.-ALIGNED | 1,221 LV | 46 | 51 | R+5 | R+1.4 moved 3.6 toward D | 5.7% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Kansas Senate Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall | Emerson College | 800 LV | 49.5 | 46 | D+4 | D+3.0 moved 0.5 toward R | 17% | source |
| Oct 20–28 | Generic congressional ballot | Ipsos | 1,209 LV | 50 | 44 | D+6 | D+6.4 moved 0.4 toward D | 4.4% | source |
| Oct 24–28 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | Upswing ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED for Demand Justice | 505 LV | 50 | 45 | D+5 | D+1.5 moved 3.5 toward R | 6.5% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Nevada Governor Aaron Ford v. Joe Lombardo | Noble Predictive Insights | 487 LV | 47 | 47 | Even | Even | 25% | source |
| Oct 22–28 | California’s 1st District Mike McGuire v. James Gallagher | University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab/University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research for University of Southern California Center for the Political Future | 439 LV | 54 | 40 | D+14 | D+14.0 | 100% | source |
| Oct 28 | Iowa Senate Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson | co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED | 1,020 LV | 46 | 48 | R+2 | D+1.9 moved 3.9 toward D | 11% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody | The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | 500 LV | 36 | 42 | R+6 | R+6.2 moved 0.2 toward R | 5.8% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | 500 LV | 39 | 40 | R+1 | R+1.2 moved 0.2 toward R | 5.7% | source |
| Oct 22–28 | Texas Senate James Talarico v. Ken Paxton | ActiVote | 400 LV | 52 | 48 | D+4 | D+4.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 5.2% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Texas Senate James Talarico v. Ken Paxton | Quantus InsightsREP.-ALIGNED | 1,221 LV | 48 | 49 | R+1 | D+2.6 moved 3.6 toward D | 4.9% | source |
| Oct 22–28 | California’s 22nd District Randy Villegas v. David Valadao | University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab/University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research for University of Southern California Center for the Political Future | 356 LV | 54 | 44 | D+10 | D+10.0 | 100% | source |
| Oct 22–28 | California’s 48th District Marni von Wilpert v. Jim Desmond | University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab for University of Southern California Center for the Political Future | 474 LV | 52 | 44 | D+8 | D+8.0 | 67% | source |
| Oct 24–28 | Minnesota Governor Amy Klobuchar v. Lisa Demuth | SurveyUSA | 718 LV | 51 | 39 | D+12 | D+12.0 | 21% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Minnesota Governor Amy Klobuchar v. Lisa Demuth | State Navigate | 806 LV | 52 | 42 | D+10 | D+9.9 moved 0.1 toward R | 19% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Kansas Governor Cindy Holscher v. Ty Masterson | Emerson College | 800 LV | 47 | 51.5 | R+5 | R+5.0 moved 0.5 toward R | 25% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs | Noble Predictive Insights | 511 LV | 51 | 45 | D+6 | D+6.0 | 16% | source |
| Oct 26–28 | Arizona’s 1st District Amish Shah v. Jay Feely | Keating ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED | 500 LV | 49 | 45 | D+4 | D+0.5 moved 3.5 toward R | 64% | source |
| Oct 23–27 | Georgia Governor Keisha Lance Bottoms v. Rick Jackson | State Navigate | 679 LV | 50 | 47 | D+3 | D+2.9 moved 0.1 toward R | 18% | source |
| Sep 20 – Oct 27 | Michigan Governor Jocelyn Benson v. John James | Guidant Polling and StrategyREP.-ALIGNED for Public First Action | 800 LV | 50 | 45 | D+5 | D+8.6 moved 3.6 toward D | 8.6% | source |
| Oct 25–27 | Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs | Kreate StrategiesREP.-ALIGNED for American Encore | 900 LV | 48 | 43 | D+5 | D+8.4 moved 3.4 toward D | 14% | source |
| Oct 20–27 | Texas Senate James Talarico v. Ken Paxton | SSRS for CNN | 923 LV | 49 | 43 | D+6 | D+5.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 4.5% | source |
| Oct 23–27 | Texas Senate James Talarico v. Ken Paxton | A2 Insights | 631 LV | 50 | 47 | D+3 | D+3.0 | 4.7% | source |
| Oct 26–27 | Michigan Governor Jocelyn Benson v. John James | Mitchell Research & Communications for CBS Detroit | 636 LV | 49 | 44 | D+5 | D+5.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 9.6% | source |
| Oct 26–27 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | Mitchell Research & Communications for CBS Detroit | 636 LV | 51 | 44 | D+7 | D+7.1 moved 0.1 toward D | 6.3% | source |
| Oct 20–27 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | SSRS for CNN | 768 LV | 49 | 42 | D+7 | D+6.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 5.5% | source |
LV: likely voters. RV: registered voters. A: all adults. “Adjusted” is the published margin after removing the sponsor shift and the pollster’s measured house effect; the small print says how far that moved the poll. Dem.-aligned and Rep.-aligned mark polls paid for by a party, a campaign, or an allied group, or taken by a firm whose published work is mostly for one side. They are shifted by the average lean of such polls, then counted at full weight.