House Effects
Sunday, October 11, 202623 days until Election Day, November 3, 2026
Database

Latest polls

The 400 most recent general-election polls between this year's actual nominees, plus the generic ballot, out of 2,706 collected for the 2026 cycle. When one poll publishes several versions of a race (likely and registered voters, with and without minor candidates), it appears once: the most election-like population, averaged across versions. Hypothetical matchups are left out.

Newest first

Race polls and the generic ballot

Fifty at a time. Filter by office, or type a state, a candidate, or a pollster.

Showing 50 of 400
DatesRacePollsterSampleDem.Rep.As publishedAdjustedShare of average
Oct 8–9Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson v. John James
Wedgewood Polls607 LV5545D+10D+10.2
moved 0.2 toward D
6.9%
source
Oct 1–9Arizona Governor
Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs
Equis Research1,214 RV4943D+6D+6.0
10%
source
Oct 8–9Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
Wedgewood Polls607 LV5347D+6D+6.2
moved 0.2 toward D
4.6%
source
Oct 5–8Maine Senate
Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins
Rasmussen Reports804 LV4947D+2D+2.2
moved 0.2 toward D
7.1%
source
Oct 6–8Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED1,086 LV4744D+3D+6.0
moved 3.0 toward D
5.8%
source
Oct 1–7California’s 48th District
Marni von Wilpert v. Jim Desmond
SurveyUSA
for KGTV (San Diego); The San Diego Union-Tribune
518 LV4738D+9D+8.8
moved 0.2 toward R
69%
source
Oct 2–7Minnesota Governor
Amy Klobuchar v. Lisa Demuth
Morning Consult1,000 RV4839D+9D+8.7
moved 0.3 toward R
19%
source
Oct 5–7Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics
836 LV4547R+2R+2.5
moved 0.5 toward R
13%
source
Oct 2–7Minnesota Senate
Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya
Morning Consult1,000 RV4541D+4D+3.7
moved 0.3 toward R
7.2%
source
Oct 5–7Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics
836 LV4545EvenR+0.5
moved 0.5 toward R
14%
source
Oct 5–7Minnesota Senate
Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya
Rasmussen Reports856 LV4845D+3D+3.2
moved 0.2 toward D
13%
source
Oct 5–6Iowa Senate
Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson
Emerson College
for Nexstar Media Group
650 LV4547R+2R+1.7
moved 0.3 toward D
9.0%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 6New York’s 21st District
Blake Gendebien v. Anthony Constantino
Siena College
for Times Union, WPTZ and WAMC
496 LV4642D+4D+3.3
moved 0.7 toward R
28%
source
Oct 1–6North Carolina’s 1st District
Don Davis v. Laurie Buckhout
Neighborhood Research and MediaREP.-ALIGNED
for Rick Shaftan
303 LV5141D+10D+13.3
moved 3.3 toward D
34%
source
Oct 5–6Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
Quantus InsightsREP.-ALIGNED762 LV49.548D+2D+5.3
moved 3.8 toward D
4.3%
source
Oct 5–6Ohio Senate (special)
Sherrod Brown v. Jon Husted
co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED925 LV4445R+1D+3.6
moved 4.6 toward D
8.5%
source
Oct 5–6Iowa Governor
Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn
Emerson College
for Nexstar Media Group
650 LV4945D+4D+4.3
moved 0.3 toward D
14%
source
Oct 5–6Ohio Governor
Amy Acton v. Vivek Ramaswamy
co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED925 LV4345R+2D+2.6
moved 4.6 toward D
13%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
YouGov3,625 LV5044D+6D+5.6
moved 0.4 toward R
5.4%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 5Ohio Senate (special)
Sherrod Brown v. Jon Husted
SSRS
for CNN
760 LV4943D+6D+5.8
moved 0.2 toward R
7.9%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 5Generic congressional ballotIpsos3,526 RV4437D+7D+7.4
moved 0.4 toward D
1.7%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
YouGov3,813 LV4449R+5R+5.4
moved 0.4 toward R
13%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 5Kentucky’s 6th District
Zach Dembo v. Ralph Alvarado
Change Research
for Kentuckians Not Corruption
524 LV4738D+9D+8.6
moved 0.4 toward R
26%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 5Maine Governor
Hannah Pingree v. Bobby Charles
The Washington Post800 LV4936D+13D+12.6
moved 0.4 toward R
14%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5Texas Governor
Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott
YouGov3,625 LV4847D+1D+0.6
moved 0.4 toward R
6.9%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5New Hampshire Senate
Chris Pappas v. John E. Sununu
YouGov1,520 LV5143D+8D+7.6
moved 0.4 toward R
13%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 5Iowa Senate
Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson
SSRS
for CNN
801 LV4345R+2R+2.2
moved 0.2 toward R
6.6%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 5Maine Senate
Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins
The Washington Post800 LV5046D+4D+3.6
moved 0.4 toward R
7.6%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
YouGov3,813 LV4547R+2R+2.4
moved 0.4 toward R
14%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 5Ohio Governor
Amy Acton v. Vivek Ramaswamy
SSRS
for CNN
760 LV5042D+8D+7.8
moved 0.2 toward R
12%
source
Oct 1–5Pennsylvania Governor
Josh Shapiro v. Stacy Garrity
Quinnipiac University Polling Institute1,159 LV5934D+25D+24.8
moved 0.2 toward R
16%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5New Hampshire Governor
Cinde Warmington v. Kelly Ayotte
YouGov1,520 LV4049R+9R+9.4
moved 0.4 toward R
22%
source
Oct 3–5New York Governor
Kathy Hochul v. Bruce Blakeman
Emerson College
for WPIX
900 LV5240D+12D+12.3
moved 0.3 toward D
22%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 5Iowa Governor
Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn
SSRS
for CNN
801 LV5142D+9D+8.8
moved 0.2 toward R
9.9%
source
Oct 2–5Generic congressional ballotYouGov995 LV51.540D+12D+11.1
moved 0.4 toward R
3.1%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 5Arizona Governor
Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs
GQRDEM.-ALIGNED
for Hobbs' campaign
600 LV4945D+4D+0.9
moved 3.1 toward R
17%
source
Oct 1–4Minnesota Senate
Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya
GQRDEM.-ALIGNED
for Senate Majority PAC
800 LV51.543D+9D+5.4
moved 3.1 toward R
14%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 4Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson v. John James
YouGov3,949 LV4845D+3D+2.6
moved 0.4 toward R
6.5%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 4Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
YouGov3,949 LV4948D+1D+0.6
moved 0.4 toward R
4.3%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 4Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
Targoz Market Research
for the James Madison Institute
849 LV4252R+10R+9.5
moved 0.5 toward D
11%
source
Sep 24 – Oct 4Kansas Governor
Cindy Holscher v. Ty Masterson
YouGov2,255 LV4447R+3R+3.4
moved 0.4 toward R
18%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 4Kansas Senate
Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall
GBAODEM.-ALIGNED
for Hamilton's campaign
600 LV47.542.5D+5D+1.8
moved 3.2 toward R
14%
source
Oct 1–4New York Governor
Kathy Hochul v. Bruce Blakeman
Marist College1,361 RV5342D+11D+10.3
moved 0.7 toward R
10%
source
Sep 24 – Oct 4Kansas Senate
Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall
YouGov2,255 LV4845D+3D+2.6
moved 0.4 toward R
13%
source
Oct 1–4Oregon Governor
Tina Kotek v. Christine Drazan
GBAODEM.-ALIGNED
for Kotek's campaign
800 LV4642D+4D+0.8
moved 3.2 toward R
38%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 4Kentucky’s 6th District
Zach Dembo v. Ralph Alvarado
Lake Research PartnersDEM.-ALIGNED
for the House Majority PAC
400 LV47.542.5D+5D+1.2
moved 3.8 toward R
28%
source
Oct 2–4Vermont Governor
Amanda Janoo v. Phil Scott
State Navigate948 LV4346R+3R+3.1
moved 0.1 toward R
39%
source
Oct 1–4Maine Senate
Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins
Marist College1,505 RV5147D+4D+3.3
moved 0.7 toward R
4.1%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 4Generic congressional ballotPew Research Center3,917 RV4436D+8D+8.4
moved 0.4 toward D
1.6%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 4Texas’s 2nd District
Shaun Finnie v. Steve Toth
Impact ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED
for Finnie's campaign
501 LV3746R+9R+12.1
moved 3.1 toward R
100%
source

LV: likely voters. RV: registered voters. A: all adults. “Adjusted” is the published margin after removing the sponsor shift and the pollster’s measured house effect; the small print says how far that moved the poll. Dem.-aligned and Rep.-aligned mark polls paid for by a party, a campaign, or an allied group, or taken by a firm whose published work is mostly for one side. They are shifted by the average lean of such polls, then counted at full weight.