House Effects
Sunday, November 1, 20262 days until Election Day, November 3, 2026
Database

Latest polls

The 400 most recent general-election polls between this year's actual nominees, plus the generic ballot, out of 3,194 collected for the 2026 cycle. When one poll publishes several versions of a race (likely and registered voters, with and without minor candidates), it appears once: the most election-like population, averaged across versions. Hypothetical matchups are left out.

Newest first

Race polls and the generic ballot

Fifty at a time. Filter by office, or type a state, a candidate, or a pollster.

Showing 50 of 400
DatesRacePollsterSampleDem.Rep.As publishedAdjustedShare of average
Oct 20–31Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
ActiVote400 LV4852R+4R+3.9
moved 0.1 toward D
8.3%
source
Oct 23–31Illinois Governor
JB Pritzker v. Darren Bailey
ActiVote400 LV5941D+18D+18.1
moved 0.1 toward D
61%
source
Oct 17–31California Governor
Xavier Becerra v. Steve Hilton
ActiVote400 LV6337D+26D+26.1
moved 0.1 toward D
15%
source
Oct 22–30Generic congressional ballotActiVote2,000 LV53.546.5D+7D+7.1
moved 0.1 toward D
5.2%
source
Oct 27–30Texas Governor
Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott
Kreate StrategiesREP.-ALIGNED900 LV4749R+2D+1.4
moved 3.4 toward D
6.3%
source
Oct 27–30Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
Kreate StrategiesREP.-ALIGNED900 LV4845D+3D+6.4
moved 3.4 toward D
5.4%
source
Oct 26–30Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research852 RV4549R+4R+3.9
moved 0.1 toward D
4.7%
source
Oct 26–30Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
Big Data Poll1,067 LV42.545.5R+3R+3.0
7.6%
source
Oct 26–30Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
Big Data Poll
for 1776 Law Center and Public Polling Project
1,067 LV43.550R+7R+6.5
7.8%
source
Oct 26–30Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research852 RV4551R+6R+5.9
moved 0.1 toward D
4.6%
source
Oct 21–30Illinois Senate
Juliana Stratton v. Don Tracy
ActiVote400 LV5644D+12D+12.1
moved 0.1 toward D
61%
source
Oct 28–29Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
InsiderAdvantage1,200 LV4549R+4R+3.5
moved 0.5 toward D
7.8%
source
Oct 23–29Texas Governor
Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott
ActiVote400 LV47.952.1R+4R+4.1
moved 0.1 toward D
6.4%
source
Oct 27–29South Carolina Senate
Annie Andrews v. Darline Graham
Patinkin Research StrategiesDEM.-ALIGNED
for Project V.O.T.E
500 LV4843D+5D+1.2
moved 3.8 toward R
15%
source
Oct 23–29Nebraska Governor
Lynne Walz v. Jim Pillen
The New York Times/Siena College809 LV4053R+13R+13.3
moved 0.3 toward R
20%
source
Oct 23–29Nebraska Senate
Dan Osborn v. Pete Ricketts
The New York Times/Siena College809 LV4349R+6R+6.3
moved 0.3 toward R
19%
source
Oct 28–29Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
Rasmussen Reports745 LV4944D+5D+5.5
moved 0.5 toward D
6.2%
source
Oct 26–29Alaska Senate
Mary Peltola v. Dan S. Sullivan
Alaska Survey Research1,326 LV5149D+2D+1.9
moved 0.1 toward R
26%
source
Oct 28–29Louisiana Senate
Jamie Davis v. Julia Letlow
Garin-Hart-Yang Research GroupDEM.-ALIGNED
for Davis' campaign
502 LV4545EvenR+3.7
moved 3.7 toward R
91%
source
Oct 28–29Arizona Governor
Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs
GrayHouseREP.-ALIGNED
for the campaign of Elijah Norton
500 LV5045D+5D+8.7
moved 3.7 toward D
15%
source
Oct 28–29Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
InsiderAdvantage1,200 LV4349R+6R+5.5
moved 0.5 toward D
8.1%
source
Oct 27–28Arkansas Senate
Hallie Shoffner v. Tom Cotton
GrayHouseREP.-ALIGNED
for America One Policies
509 LV3955R+16R+12.3
moved 3.7 toward D
56%
source
Oct 24–28Minnesota Senate
Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya
SurveyUSA714 LV4841D+7D+7.0
16%
source
Oct 28Iowa Governor
Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn
co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED1,020 LV5045D+5D+8.9
moved 3.9 toward D
15%
source
Oct 26–28Texas Governor
Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott
Quantus InsightsREP.-ALIGNED1,221 LV4651R+5R+1.4
moved 3.6 toward D
5.7%
source
Oct 26–28Kansas Senate
Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall
Emerson College800 LV49.546D+4D+3.0
moved 0.5 toward R
17%
source
Oct 20–28Generic congressional ballotIpsos1,209 LV5044D+6D+6.4
moved 0.4 toward D
4.4%
source
Oct 24–28Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
Upswing ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED
for Demand Justice
505 LV5045D+5D+1.5
moved 3.5 toward R
6.5%
source
Oct 26–28Nevada Governor
Aaron Ford v. Joe Lombardo
Noble Predictive Insights487 LV4747EvenEven
25%
source
Oct 22–28California’s 1st District
Mike McGuire v. James Gallagher
University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab/University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research
for University of Southern California Center for the Political Future
439 LV5440D+14D+14.0
100%
source
Oct 28Iowa Senate
Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson
co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED1,020 LV4648R+2D+1.9
moved 3.9 toward D
11%
source
Oct 26–28Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group500 LV3642R+6R+6.2
moved 0.2 toward R
5.8%
source
Oct 26–28Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group500 LV3940R+1R+1.2
moved 0.2 toward R
5.7%
source
Oct 22–28Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
ActiVote400 LV5248D+4D+4.1
moved 0.1 toward D
5.2%
source
Oct 26–28Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
Quantus InsightsREP.-ALIGNED1,221 LV4849R+1D+2.6
moved 3.6 toward D
4.9%
source
Oct 22–28California’s 22nd District
Randy Villegas v. David Valadao
University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab/University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research
for University of Southern California Center for the Political Future
356 LV5444D+10D+10.0
100%
source
Oct 22–28California’s 48th District
Marni von Wilpert v. Jim Desmond
University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab
for University of Southern California Center for the Political Future
474 LV5244D+8D+8.0
67%
source
Oct 24–28Minnesota Governor
Amy Klobuchar v. Lisa Demuth
SurveyUSA718 LV5139D+12D+12.0
21%
source
Oct 26–28Minnesota Governor
Amy Klobuchar v. Lisa Demuth
State Navigate806 LV5242D+10D+9.9
moved 0.1 toward R
19%
source
Oct 26–28Kansas Governor
Cindy Holscher v. Ty Masterson
Emerson College800 LV4751.5R+5R+5.0
moved 0.5 toward R
25%
source
Oct 26–28Arizona Governor
Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs
Noble Predictive Insights511 LV5145D+6D+6.0
16%
source
Oct 26–28Arizona’s 1st District
Amish Shah v. Jay Feely
Keating ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED500 LV4945D+4D+0.5
moved 3.5 toward R
64%
source
Oct 23–27Georgia Governor
Keisha Lance Bottoms v. Rick Jackson
State Navigate679 LV5047D+3D+2.9
moved 0.1 toward R
18%
source
Sep 20 – Oct 27Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson v. John James
Guidant Polling and StrategyREP.-ALIGNED
for Public First Action
800 LV5045D+5D+8.6
moved 3.6 toward D
8.6%
source
Oct 25–27Arizona Governor
Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs
Kreate StrategiesREP.-ALIGNED
for American Encore
900 LV4843D+5D+8.4
moved 3.4 toward D
14%
source
Oct 20–27Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
SSRS
for CNN
923 LV4943D+6D+5.6
moved 0.4 toward R
4.5%
source
Oct 23–27Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
A2 Insights631 LV5047D+3D+3.0
4.7%
source
Oct 26–27Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson v. John James
Mitchell Research & Communications
for CBS Detroit
636 LV4944D+5D+5.1
moved 0.1 toward D
9.6%
source
Oct 26–27Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
Mitchell Research & Communications
for CBS Detroit
636 LV5144D+7D+7.1
moved 0.1 toward D
6.3%
source
Oct 20–27Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
SSRS
for CNN
768 LV4942D+7D+6.6
moved 0.4 toward R
5.5%
source

LV: likely voters. RV: registered voters. A: all adults. “Adjusted” is the published margin after removing the sponsor shift and the pollster’s measured house effect; the small print says how far that moved the poll. Dem.-aligned and Rep.-aligned mark polls paid for by a party, a campaign, or an allied group, or taken by a firm whose published work is mostly for one side. They are shifted by the average lean of such polls, then counted at full weight.