Latest polls
The 400 most recent general-election polls between this year's actual nominees, plus the generic ballot, out of 2,706 collected for the 2026 cycle. When one poll publishes several versions of a race (likely and registered voters, with and without minor candidates), it appears once: the most election-like population, averaged across versions. Hypothetical matchups are left out.
Race polls and the generic ballot
Fifty at a time. Filter by office, or type a state, a candidate, or a pollster.
| Dates | Race | Pollster | Sample | Dem. | Rep. | As published | Adjusted | Share of average | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8–9 | Michigan Governor Jocelyn Benson v. John James | Wedgewood Polls | 607 LV | 55 | 45 | D+10 | D+10.2 moved 0.2 toward D | 6.9% | source |
| Oct 1–9 | Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs | Equis Research | 1,214 RV | 49 | 43 | D+6 | D+6.0 | 10% | source |
| Oct 8–9 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | Wedgewood Polls | 607 LV | 53 | 47 | D+6 | D+6.2 moved 0.2 toward D | 4.6% | source |
| Oct 5–8 | Maine Senate Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins | Rasmussen Reports | 804 LV | 49 | 47 | D+2 | D+2.2 moved 0.2 toward D | 7.1% | source |
| Oct 6–8 | Texas Senate James Talarico v. Ken Paxton | Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED | 1,086 LV | 47 | 44 | D+3 | D+6.0 moved 3.0 toward D | 5.8% | source |
| Oct 1–7 | California’s 48th District Marni von Wilpert v. Jim Desmond | SurveyUSA for KGTV (San Diego); The San Diego Union-Tribune | 518 LV | 47 | 38 | D+9 | D+8.8 moved 0.2 toward R | 69% | source |
| Oct 2–7 | Minnesota Governor Amy Klobuchar v. Lisa Demuth | Morning Consult | 1,000 RV | 48 | 39 | D+9 | D+8.7 moved 0.3 toward R | 19% | source |
| Oct 5–7 | Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody | St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics | 836 LV | 45 | 47 | R+2 | R+2.5 moved 0.5 toward R | 13% | source |
| Oct 2–7 | Minnesota Senate Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya | Morning Consult | 1,000 RV | 45 | 41 | D+4 | D+3.7 moved 0.3 toward R | 7.2% | source |
| Oct 5–7 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics | 836 LV | 45 | 45 | Even | R+0.5 moved 0.5 toward R | 14% | source |
| Oct 5–7 | Minnesota Senate Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya | Rasmussen Reports | 856 LV | 48 | 45 | D+3 | D+3.2 moved 0.2 toward D | 13% | source |
| Oct 5–6 | Iowa Senate Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson | Emerson College for Nexstar Media Group | 650 LV | 45 | 47 | R+2 | R+1.7 moved 0.3 toward D | 9.0% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 6 | New York’s 21st District Blake Gendebien v. Anthony Constantino | Siena College for Times Union, WPTZ and WAMC | 496 LV | 46 | 42 | D+4 | D+3.3 moved 0.7 toward R | 28% | source |
| Oct 1–6 | North Carolina’s 1st District Don Davis v. Laurie Buckhout | Neighborhood Research and MediaREP.-ALIGNED for Rick Shaftan | 303 LV | 51 | 41 | D+10 | D+13.3 moved 3.3 toward D | 34% | source |
| Oct 5–6 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | Quantus InsightsREP.-ALIGNED | 762 LV | 49.5 | 48 | D+2 | D+5.3 moved 3.8 toward D | 4.3% | source |
| Oct 5–6 | Ohio Senate (special) Sherrod Brown v. Jon Husted | co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED | 925 LV | 44 | 45 | R+1 | D+3.6 moved 4.6 toward D | 8.5% | source |
| Oct 5–6 | Iowa Governor Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn | Emerson College for Nexstar Media Group | 650 LV | 49 | 45 | D+4 | D+4.3 moved 0.3 toward D | 14% | source |
| Oct 5–6 | Ohio Governor Amy Acton v. Vivek Ramaswamy | co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED | 925 LV | 43 | 45 | R+2 | D+2.6 moved 4.6 toward D | 13% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | Texas Senate James Talarico v. Ken Paxton | YouGov | 3,625 LV | 50 | 44 | D+6 | D+5.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 5.4% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 5 | Ohio Senate (special) Sherrod Brown v. Jon Husted | SSRS for CNN | 760 LV | 49 | 43 | D+6 | D+5.8 moved 0.2 toward R | 7.9% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 5 | Generic congressional ballot | Ipsos | 3,526 RV | 44 | 37 | D+7 | D+7.4 moved 0.4 toward D | 1.7% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | Florida Senate (special) Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody | YouGov | 3,813 LV | 44 | 49 | R+5 | R+5.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 13% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 5 | Kentucky’s 6th District Zach Dembo v. Ralph Alvarado | Change Research for Kentuckians Not Corruption | 524 LV | 47 | 38 | D+9 | D+8.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 26% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 5 | Maine Governor Hannah Pingree v. Bobby Charles | The Washington Post | 800 LV | 49 | 36 | D+13 | D+12.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 14% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | Texas Governor Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott | YouGov | 3,625 LV | 48 | 47 | D+1 | D+0.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 6.9% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | New Hampshire Senate Chris Pappas v. John E. Sununu | YouGov | 1,520 LV | 51 | 43 | D+8 | D+7.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 13% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 5 | Iowa Senate Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson | SSRS for CNN | 801 LV | 43 | 45 | R+2 | R+2.2 moved 0.2 toward R | 6.6% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 5 | Maine Senate Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins | The Washington Post | 800 LV | 50 | 46 | D+4 | D+3.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 7.6% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | YouGov | 3,813 LV | 45 | 47 | R+2 | R+2.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 14% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 5 | Ohio Governor Amy Acton v. Vivek Ramaswamy | SSRS for CNN | 760 LV | 50 | 42 | D+8 | D+7.8 moved 0.2 toward R | 12% | source |
| Oct 1–5 | Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro v. Stacy Garrity | Quinnipiac University Polling Institute | 1,159 LV | 59 | 34 | D+25 | D+24.8 moved 0.2 toward R | 16% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 5 | New Hampshire Governor Cinde Warmington v. Kelly Ayotte | YouGov | 1,520 LV | 40 | 49 | R+9 | R+9.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 22% | source |
| Oct 3–5 | New York Governor Kathy Hochul v. Bruce Blakeman | Emerson College for WPIX | 900 LV | 52 | 40 | D+12 | D+12.3 moved 0.3 toward D | 22% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 5 | Iowa Governor Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn | SSRS for CNN | 801 LV | 51 | 42 | D+9 | D+8.8 moved 0.2 toward R | 9.9% | source |
| Oct 2–5 | Generic congressional ballot | YouGov | 995 LV | 51.5 | 40 | D+12 | D+11.1 moved 0.4 toward R | 3.1% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 5 | Arizona Governor Katie Hobbs v. Andy Biggs | GQRDEM.-ALIGNED for Hobbs' campaign | 600 LV | 49 | 45 | D+4 | D+0.9 moved 3.1 toward R | 17% | source |
| Oct 1–4 | Minnesota Senate Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya | GQRDEM.-ALIGNED for Senate Majority PAC | 800 LV | 51.5 | 43 | D+9 | D+5.4 moved 3.1 toward R | 14% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 4 | Michigan Governor Jocelyn Benson v. John James | YouGov | 3,949 LV | 48 | 45 | D+3 | D+2.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 6.5% | source |
| Sep 22 – Oct 4 | Michigan Senate Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers | YouGov | 3,949 LV | 49 | 48 | D+1 | D+0.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 4.3% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 4 | Florida Governor David Jolly v. Byron Donalds | Targoz Market Research for the James Madison Institute | 849 LV | 42 | 52 | R+10 | R+9.5 moved 0.5 toward D | 11% | source |
| Sep 24 – Oct 4 | Kansas Governor Cindy Holscher v. Ty Masterson | YouGov | 2,255 LV | 44 | 47 | R+3 | R+3.4 moved 0.4 toward R | 18% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 4 | Kansas Senate Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall | GBAODEM.-ALIGNED for Hamilton's campaign | 600 LV | 47.5 | 42.5 | D+5 | D+1.8 moved 3.2 toward R | 14% | source |
| Oct 1–4 | New York Governor Kathy Hochul v. Bruce Blakeman | Marist College | 1,361 RV | 53 | 42 | D+11 | D+10.3 moved 0.7 toward R | 10% | source |
| Sep 24 – Oct 4 | Kansas Senate Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall | YouGov | 2,255 LV | 48 | 45 | D+3 | D+2.6 moved 0.4 toward R | 13% | source |
| Oct 1–4 | Oregon Governor Tina Kotek v. Christine Drazan | GBAODEM.-ALIGNED for Kotek's campaign | 800 LV | 46 | 42 | D+4 | D+0.8 moved 3.2 toward R | 38% | source |
| Sep 30 – Oct 4 | Kentucky’s 6th District Zach Dembo v. Ralph Alvarado | Lake Research PartnersDEM.-ALIGNED for the House Majority PAC | 400 LV | 47.5 | 42.5 | D+5 | D+1.2 moved 3.8 toward R | 28% | source |
| Oct 2–4 | Vermont Governor Amanda Janoo v. Phil Scott | State Navigate | 948 LV | 43 | 46 | R+3 | R+3.1 moved 0.1 toward R | 39% | source |
| Oct 1–4 | Maine Senate Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins | Marist College | 1,505 RV | 51 | 47 | D+4 | D+3.3 moved 0.7 toward R | 4.1% | source |
| Sep 28 – Oct 4 | Generic congressional ballot | Pew Research Center | 3,917 RV | 44 | 36 | D+8 | D+8.4 moved 0.4 toward D | 1.6% | source |
| Sep 29 – Oct 4 | Texas’s 2nd District Shaun Finnie v. Steve Toth | Impact ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED for Finnie's campaign | 501 LV | 37 | 46 | R+9 | R+12.1 moved 3.1 toward R | 100% | source |
LV: likely voters. RV: registered voters. A: all adults. “Adjusted” is the published margin after removing the sponsor shift and the pollster’s measured house effect; the small print says how far that moved the poll. Dem.-aligned and Rep.-aligned mark polls paid for by a party, a campaign, or an allied group, or taken by a firm whose published work is mostly for one side. They are shifted by the average lean of such polls, then counted at full weight.