House Effects
Wednesday, October 7, 202627 days until Election Day, November 3, 2026
Database

Latest polls

The 400 most recent general-election polls between this year's actual nominees, plus the generic ballot, out of 2,636 collected for the 2026 cycle. When one poll publishes several versions of a race (likely and registered voters, with and without minor candidates), it appears once: the most election-like population, averaged across versions. Hypothetical matchups are left out.

Newest first

Race polls and the generic ballot

Fifty at a time. Filter by office, or type a state, a candidate, or a pollster.

Showing 50 of 400
DatesRacePollsterSampleDem.Rep.As publishedAdjustedShare of average
Sep 28 – Oct 5New Hampshire Governor
Cinde Warmington v. Kelly Ayotte
YouGov1,520 LV4049R+9R+9.4
moved 0.4 toward R
21%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
YouGov3,625 LV5044D+6D+5.6
moved 0.4 toward R
6.2%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 5Generic congressional ballotIpsos3,526 RV4437D+7D+7.4
moved 0.4 toward D
1.7%
source
Oct 2–5Generic congressional ballotYouGov995 LV51.540D+12D+11.1
moved 0.4 toward R
3.0%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
YouGov3,813 LV4547R+2R+2.4
moved 0.4 toward R
16%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5Texas Governor
Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott
YouGov3,625 LV4847D+1D+0.6
moved 0.4 toward R
7.4%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5New Hampshire Senate
Chris Pappas v. John E. Sununu
YouGov1,520 LV5143D+8D+7.6
moved 0.4 toward R
13%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 5Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
YouGov3,813 LV4449R+5R+5.4
moved 0.4 toward R
16%
source
Sep 24 – Oct 4Kansas Senate
Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall
YouGov2,255 LV4845D+3D+2.6
moved 0.4 toward R
14%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 4Generic congressional ballotMorning Consult17,659 LV5043D+7D+6.8
moved 0.2 toward R
2.6%
source
Oct 1–4New York Governor
Kathy Hochul v. Bruce Blakeman
Marist College1,361 RV5342D+11D+10.2
moved 0.8 toward R
12%
source
Sep 24 – Oct 4Kansas Governor
Cindy Holscher v. Ty Masterson
YouGov2,255 LV4447R+3R+3.4
moved 0.4 toward R
18%
source
Oct 1–4Maine Governor
Hannah Pingree v. Bobby Charles
Marist College1,505 RV5240D+12D+11.2
moved 0.8 toward R
8.6%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 4Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
YouGov3,949 LV4948D+1D+0.6
moved 0.4 toward R
5.2%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 4Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson v. John James
YouGov3,949 LV4845D+3D+2.6
moved 0.4 toward R
7.6%
source
Oct 1–4Maine Senate
Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins
Marist College1,505 RV5147D+4D+3.2
moved 0.8 toward R
4.6%
source
Sep 24 – Oct 3Nebraska Senate
Dan Osborn v. Pete Ricketts
YouGov1,809 LV4847D+1D+0.6
moved 0.4 toward R
20%
source
Oct 2–3Georgia Senate
Jon Ossoff v. Mike Collins
Wedgewood Polls600 LV5545D+10D+10.3
moved 0.3 toward D
15%
source
Sep 24 – Oct 3Nebraska Governor
Lynne Walz v. Jim Pillen
YouGov1,809 LV4344R+1R+1.4
moved 0.4 toward R
23%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 3South Carolina Governor
Jermaine Johnson v. Alan Wilson
Resonance Media638 RV3545R+10R+10.0
45%
source
Oct 2–3Georgia Governor
Keisha Lance Bottoms v. Rick Jackson
Wedgewood Polls600 LV4951R+2R+1.7
moved 0.3 toward D
17%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 2Generic congressional ballotActiVote1,000 LV5248D+4D+4.2
moved 0.2 toward D
3.0%
source
Oct 1–2Florida’s 16th District
Kelly Kirschner v. Sydney Gruters
Public Policy PollingDEM.-ALIGNED530 RV3943R+4R+7.1
moved 3.1 toward R
57%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 2Generic congressional ballotYouGov1,572 LV5445D+9D+8.6
moved 0.4 toward R
1.4%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 1Kansas Senate
Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall
Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED1,095 LV4444EvenD+3.0
moved 3.0 toward D
14%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 1Texas Governor
Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott
The New York Times/Siena College615 LV4946D+3D+3.1
moved 0.1 toward D
7.6%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 1Illinois Senate
Juliana Stratton v. Don Tracy
Public Policy PollingDEM.-ALIGNED
for Chicago News Weekly
569 LV4936D+13D+9.9
moved 3.1 toward R
100%
source
Oct 1Arizona’s 1st District
Amish Shah v. Jay Feely
FirstStrategic Communications and Public Affairs400 LV4442D+2D+2.0
50%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 1Wisconsin’s 1st District
Mitchell Berman v. Bryan Steil
Impact ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED
for House Majority PAC
500 LV4847D+1R+2.3
moved 3.3 toward R
51%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 1Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy625 LV4148R+7R+6.4
moved 0.6 toward D
18%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 1Illinois Governor
JB Pritzker v. Darren Bailey
Public Policy PollingDEM.-ALIGNED
for Chicago News Weekly
569 LV5434D+20D+16.9
moved 3.1 toward R
100%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 1Iowa Governor
Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn
The New York Times/Siena College606 LV5241D+11D+11.1
moved 0.1 toward D
14%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 1Iowa Senate
Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson
The New York Times/Siena College606 LV4748R+1R+0.9
moved 0.1 toward D
8.5%
source
Sep 23 – Oct 1Maine Governor
Hannah Pingree v. Bobby Charles
YouGov1,133 LV5644D+12D+11.6
moved 0.4 toward R
13%
source
Sep 27 – Oct 1Maine Senate
Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins
Wedgewood Polls400 LV5248D+4D+4.3
moved 0.3 toward D
6.9%
source
Sep 29 – Oct 1Maine Senate
Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins
Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED1,091 LV4646EvenD+3.0
moved 3.0 toward D
7.3%
source
Sep 23 – Oct 1Maine Senate
Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins
YouGov1,136 LV5050EvenR+0.4
moved 0.4 toward R
7.1%
source
Oct 1Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
Mitchell Research & Communications682 LV4641D+5D+5.0
5.3%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 1Ohio Governor
Amy Acton v. Vivek Ramaswamy
The New York Times/Siena College616 LV4945D+4D+4.1
moved 0.1 toward D
17%
source
Oct 1Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson v. John James
Mitchell Research & Communications682 LV4639D+7D+7.0
7.7%
source
Sep 30 – Oct 1South Carolina’s 1st District
Nancy Lacore v. Jenny Costa Honeycutt
co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED
for Thank You For Your Attention To This Matter PAC
837 LV4046R+6R+1.4
moved 4.6 toward D
55%
source
Sep 22 – Oct 1Ohio Senate (special)
Sherrod Brown v. Jon Husted
The New York Times/Siena College616 LV4946D+3D+3.1
moved 0.1 toward D
10%
source
Oct 1Arizona’s 1st District
Amish Shah v. Jay Feely
FirstStrategic400 LV44.441.6D+3D+2.8
50%
source
Sep 26 – Oct 1Generic congressional ballotCenterline Research & Strategy930 LV5042D+8D+8.0
2.7%
source
Sep 24 – Oct 1Alaska Governor
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins v. Bernadette Wilson
The New York Times/Siena College504 LV5248D+4D+4.1
moved 0.1 toward D
59%
source
Sep 24 – Oct 1Alaska Senate
Mary Peltola v. Dan S. Sullivan
The New York Times/Siena College504 LV5043D+7D+7.1
moved 0.1 toward D
18%
source
Sep 28 – Oct 1Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy625 LV4050R+10R+9.4
moved 0.6 toward D
17%
source
Sep 28–30Iowa Senate
Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson
Rasmussen Reports1,048 LV4743D+4D+4.2
moved 0.2 toward D
7.4%
source
Sep 22–30Kansas Senate
Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall
The New York Times/Siena College605 LV45.546R+1R+0.4
moved 0.1 toward D
14%
source
Sep 28–30Virginia’s 6th District
Beth Macy v. Ben Cline
co/efficientREP.-ALIGNED791 LV2959R+30R+25.4
moved 4.6 toward D
100%
source

LV: likely voters. RV: registered voters. A: all adults. “Adjusted” is the published margin after removing the sponsor shift and the pollster’s measured house effect; the small print says how far that moved the poll. Dem.-aligned and Rep.-aligned mark polls paid for by a party, a campaign, or an allied group, or taken by a firm whose published work is mostly for one side. They are shifted by the average lean of such polls, then counted at full weight.