House Effects
Monday, September 21, 202643 days until Election Day, November 3, 2026
Database

Latest polls

The 400 most recent general-election polls between this year's actual nominees, plus the generic ballot, out of 2,366 collected for the 2026 cycle. When one poll publishes several versions of a race (likely and registered voters, with and without minor candidates), it appears once: the most election-like population, averaged across versions. Hypothetical matchups are left out.

Newest first

Race polls and the generic ballot

Fifty at a time. Filter by office, or type a state, a candidate, or a pollster.

Showing 50 of 400
DatesRacePollsterSampleDem.Rep.As publishedAdjustedShare of average
Sep 17–20Generic congressional ballotIpsos
for Reuters
979 RV4335D+8D+8.4
moved 0.4 toward D
1.6%
source
Sep 14–20Generic congressional ballotMorning Consult18,336 LV49.742.6D+7D+6.9
moved 0.2 toward R
2.5%
source
Sep 16–18Iowa Senate
Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson
Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED1,089 LV42.144R+2D+1.2
moved 3.1 toward D
9.3%
source
Sep 16–17New Hampshire Senate
Chris Pappas v. John Sununu
InsiderAdvantage1,200 LV47.839.9D+8D+7.8
moved 0.1 toward R
17%
source
Sep 15–17Virginia’s 1st District
Shannon Taylor v. Robert Wittman
DCCC Targeting and Analytics DepartmentDEM.-ALIGNED519 LV4647R+1R+4.7
moved 3.7 toward R
91%
source
Sep 15–17Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED1,079 LV46.445.2D+1D+4.3
moved 3.1 toward D
7.6%
source
Sep 16–17Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
InsiderAdvantage1,200 LV46.644.7D+2D+1.8
moved 0.1 toward R
7.1%
source
Sep 15–17Florida Senate (special)
Angie Nixon v. Ashley Moody
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics
913 LV44.845.2EvenR+0.6
moved 0.2 toward R
28%
source
Sep 16–17North Carolina Senate
Roy Cooper v. Michael Whatley
InsiderAdvantage1,200 LV48.442.5D+6D+5.8
moved 0.1 toward R
13%
source
Sep 15–17Generic congressional ballotJohn Zogby Strategies1,007 LV4842D+6D+5.8
moved 0.2 toward R
2.9%
source
Sep 15–17Florida Governor
David Jolly v. Byron Donalds
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics
913 LV43.443.5EvenR+0.3
moved 0.2 toward R
19%
source
Sep 14–17Alaska Senate
Mary Peltola v. Dan Sullivan
co/efficient799 LV4648R+2R+1.1
moved 0.9 toward D
24%
source
Sep 13–16Idaho Senate
Todd Achilles v. Jim Risch
Advanced Targeting Research700 RV4839D+9D+7.9
moved 1.1 toward R
25%
source
Sep 14–16Nebraska Governor
Lynne Walz v. Jim Pillen
Wedgewood Polls500 LV3653R+17R+16.6
moved 0.4 toward D
34%
source
Sep 15–16Kansas Senate
Adam Hamilton v. Roger Marshall
Emerson College
for Nexstar
750 LV44.843.3D+1D+1.4
32%
source
Sep 14–16Iowa Governor
Rob Sand v. Zach Lahn
co/efficient831 LV4642D+4D+4.9
moved 0.9 toward D
13%
source
Sep 13–16Idaho Governor
Terri Pickens v. Brad Little
Advanced Targeting Research700 RV2737R+10R+11.1
moved 1.1 toward R
53%
source
Sep 14–16Iowa Senate
Josh Turek v. Ashley Hinson
co/efficient831 LV4246R+4R+3.1
moved 0.9 toward D
8.7%
source
Sep 14–16Nebraska Senate
Dan Osborn v. Pete Ricketts
Wedgewood Polls500 LV4852R+4R+3.6
moved 0.4 toward D
32%
source
Sep 14–16Georgia Senate
Jon Ossoff v. Mike Collins
Quantus Insights645 LV4944.9D+4D+4.4
moved 0.3 toward D
19%
source
Sep 14–16Ohio Senate (special)
Sherrod Brown v. Jon Husted
Trafalgar GroupREP.-ALIGNED1,085 LV45.441.5D+4D+7.0
moved 3.1 toward D
15%
source
Sep 15–16Kansas Governor
Cindy Holscher v. Ty Masterson
Emerson College
for Nexstar
750 LV43.550.8R+7R+7.4
42%
source
Sep 14–15Minnesota Senate
Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya
co/efficient833 LV4342D+1D+1.9
moved 0.9 toward D
20%
source
Sep 14–15Minnesota Governor
Amy Klobuchar v. Lisa Demuth
co/efficient833 LV4745D+2D+2.9
moved 0.9 toward D
26%
source
Sep 8–15Generic congressional ballotRMG Research
for Napolitan News Service
2,000 LV5246D+6D+5.7
moved 0.3 toward R
3.0%
source
Sep 13–15Generic congressional ballotBig Data Poll
for Public Polling Project
2,633 LV50.539.3D+11D+10.9
moved 0.3 toward R
2.6%
source
Sep 14–15Maine Senate
Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins
Quantus Insights621 LV47.447.6EvenD+0.1
moved 0.3 toward D
14%
source
Sep 14–15Montana Senate
Alani Bankhead v. Kurt Alme
Quantus Insights625 LV24.445.3R+21R+20.6
moved 0.3 toward D
18%
source
Sep 11–15Generic congressional ballotHart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies
for NBC News
1,000 RV5045D+5D+5.0
1.6%
source
Sep 13–15North Carolina Senate
Roy Cooper v. Michael Whatley
Harper Polling
for Carolina Journal
608 LV49.234.1D+15D+14.7
moved 0.4 toward R
12%
source
Sep 11–14Generic congressional ballotIpsos
for Reuters
896 RV4437D+7D+7.4
moved 0.4 toward D
0.8%
source
Sep 9–14Minnesota Governor
Amy Klobuchar v. Lisa Demuth
SurveyUSA
for KSTP-TV Minneapolis
654 LV4740D+7D+6.2
moved 0.8 toward R
28%
source
Sep 10–14Generic congressional ballotBedrock Polling
for Rainey Center
1,004 RV4842D+6D+6.2
moved 0.2 toward D
1.5%
source
Sep 11–14Generic congressional ballotYouGov
for Economist
1,051 LV5139D+12D+11.5
moved 0.5 toward R
2.7%
source
Sep 9–14Minnesota Senate
Peggy Flanagan v. Michele Tafoya
SurveyUSA
for KSTP-TV Minneapolis
654 LV4242EvenR+0.8
moved 0.8 toward R
21%
source
Sep 12–14Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson v. John James
Emerson College
for Nexstar
1,000 LV48.641.9D+7D+6.7
13%
source
Sep 8–14Connecticut Governor
Ned Lamont v. Ryan Fazio
Quinnipiac University1,288 LV5538D+17D+17.2
moved 0.2 toward D
32%
source
Sep 14Georgia Governor
Keisha Lance Bottoms v. Rick Jackson
Rasmussen Reports1,019 LV4548R+3R+3.1
moved 0.1 toward R
22%
source
Sep 12–14Texas Senate
James Talarico v. Ken Paxton
Emerson College
for Nexstar
1,000 LV47.446.4D+1D+1.0
9.0%
source
Sep 14Georgia Senate
Jon Ossoff v. Mike Collins
Rasmussen Reports1,019 LV5142D+9D+8.9
moved 0.1 toward R
19%
source
Sep 12–14Texas Governor
Gina Hinojosa v. Greg Abbott
Emerson College
for Nexstar
1,000 LV45.548.7R+3R+3.2
9.8%
source
Sep 10–14Michigan Governor
Jocelyn Benson v. John James
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government803 LV5341D+12D+11.7
moved 0.3 toward R
12%
source
Sep 11–14Pennsylvania’s 1st District
Bob Harvie v. Brian Fitzpatrick
Public Opinion StrategiesREP.-ALIGNED
for NRCC
400 RV4251R+9R+5.0
moved 4.0 toward D
24%
source
Sep 12–14Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
Emerson College
for Nexstar
1,000 LV48.245.7D+2D+2.4
8.1%
source
Sep 11–14Generic congressional ballotBeacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
for Fox News
1,211 RV5144D+7D+7.1
moved 0.1 toward D
1.8%
source
Sep 10–14Michigan Senate
Abdul El-Sayed v. Mike Rogers
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government803 LV4845D+3D+2.7
moved 0.3 toward R
7.4%
source
Sep 8–13Generic congressional ballotThe New York Times/Siena College1,503 LV51.342.8D+9D+9.1
moved 0.6 toward D
2.9%
source
Sep 7–13Generic congressional ballotThe Honest Poll
for Veteran Action
1,392 LV5142D+9D+8.5
moved 0.5 toward R
2.5%
source
Sep 8–13Florida’s 27th District
Eliott Rodriguez v. María Elvira Salazar
Tulchin ResearchDEM.-ALIGNED
for House Majority PAC
600 LV4647R+1R+4.5
moved 3.5 toward R
53%
source
Sep 8–13Nebraska Governor
Lynne Walz v. Jim Pillen
SurveyUSA
for Grant Forbes, LLC
503 LV3543R+8R+8.8
moved 0.8 toward R
36%
source

LV: likely voters. RV: registered voters. A: all adults. “Adjusted” is the published margin after removing the sponsor shift and the pollster’s measured house effect; the small print says how far that moved the poll. Dem.-aligned and Rep.-aligned mark polls paid for by a party, a campaign, or an allied group, or taken by a firm whose published work is mostly for one side. They are shifted by the average lean of such polls, then counted at full weight.