The next fortnight

Matches that matter

Explore what a win, draw or loss could mean for the rest of the season.

Find a club or leagueOrder by

Impact is the largest difference between the win/draw/loss scenarios for either club’s listed season outcomes. A large swing means more is at stake in this model.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 30, 11:00 PM UTC

Corinthians vs Mirassol

Up to 36.2 percentage points between scenarios · Corinthians: finish bottom 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
CorinthiansWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
CorinthiansFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
CorinthiansFinish bottom 4	39.8%	22.8%	-17.0 pp
MirassolWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
MirassolFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
MirassolFinish bottom 4	10.8%	17.0%	+6.3 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,352 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 25, 12:00 AM UTC

Santos vs Bahia

Up to 36.1 percentage points between scenarios · Bahia: finish top 6.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
SantosWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SantosFinish top 6	17.5%	27.4%	+9.9 pp
SantosFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
BahiaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
BahiaFinish top 6	44.6%	32.0%	-12.6 pp
BahiaFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,944 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 24, 9:30 PM UTC

Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians

Up to 33.6 percentage points between scenarios · Corinthians: finish bottom 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Vasco da GamaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Vasco da GamaFinish top 6	0.1%	0.2%	+0.1 pp
Vasco da GamaFinish bottom 4	11.0%	3.4%	-7.6 pp
CorinthiansWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
CorinthiansFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
CorinthiansFinish bottom 4	39.8%	51.7%	+12.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,624 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 29, 10:30 PM UTC

Atlético-MG vs Cruzeiro

Up to 33.6 percentage points between scenarios · Atlético-MG: finish top 6.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Atlético-MGWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Atlético-MGFinish top 6	63.0%	78.2%	+15.2 pp
Atlético-MGFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
CruzeiroWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
CruzeiroFinish top 6	88.6%	82.0%	-6.6 pp
CruzeiroFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,532 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Nov 4, 12:30 AM UTC

Internacional vs Coritiba

Up to 33.5 percentage points between scenarios · Internacional: finish bottom 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
InternacionalWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
InternacionalFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
InternacionalFinish bottom 4	50.7%	37.8%	-12.9 pp
CoritibaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
CoritibaFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
CoritibaFinish bottom 4	7.7%	11.3%	+3.7 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,609 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 24, 7:30 PM UTC

Internacional vs Botafogo

Up to 32.7 percentage points between scenarios · Internacional: finish bottom 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
InternacionalWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
InternacionalFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
InternacionalFinish bottom 4	50.7%	34.2%	-16.5 pp
BotafogoWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
BotafogoFinish top 6	0.7%	0.2%	-0.5 pp
BotafogoFinish bottom 4	1.7%	3.4%	+1.7 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,176 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 26, 10:30 PM UTC

Coritiba vs Grêmio

Up to 31.7 percentage points between scenarios · Grêmio: finish bottom 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
CoritibaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
CoritibaFinish top 6	0.0%	0.1%	+0.0 pp
CoritibaFinish bottom 4	7.7%	1.0%	-6.6 pp
GrêmioWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GrêmioFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GrêmioFinish bottom 4	69.8%	83.3%	+13.5 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,879 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 29, 12:30 AM UTC

Bahia vs São Paulo

Up to 31.7 percentage points between scenarios · Bahia: finish top 6.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
BahiaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
BahiaFinish top 6	44.6%	59.6%	+15.0 pp
BahiaFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
São PauloWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
São PauloFinish top 6	3.6%	0.7%	-2.9 pp
São PauloFinish bottom 4	0.1%	0.2%	+0.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,385 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Eredivisie · Oct 25, 1:30 PM UTC

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord Rotterdam

Up to 30.8 percentage points between scenarios · PSV Eindhoven: win league.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
PSV EindhovenWin league	56.0%	67.0%	+11.0 pp
PSV EindhovenFinish top 2	84.4%	89.7%	+5.3 pp
PSV EindhovenFinish bottom 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Feyenoord RotterdamWin league	32.6%	22.0%	-10.6 pp
Feyenoord RotterdamFinish top 2	69.8%	63.4%	-6.4 pp
Feyenoord RotterdamFinish bottom 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,499 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 28, 10:30 PM UTC

Fluminense vs Internacional

Up to 30.3 percentage points between scenarios · Internacional: finish bottom 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
FluminenseWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
FluminenseFinish top 6	86.0%	93.0%	+7.1 pp
FluminenseFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
InternacionalWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
InternacionalFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
InternacionalFinish bottom 4	50.7%	59.1%	+8.4 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,354 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 26, 11:00 PM UTC

Flamengo vs Atlético-MG

Up to 28.6 percentage points between scenarios · Atlético-MG: finish top 6.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
FlamengoWin league	58.8%	66.4%	+7.7 pp
FlamengoFinish top 6	100.0%	100.0%	+0.0 pp
FlamengoFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Atlético-MGWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Atlético-MGFinish top 6	63.0%	57.0%	-6.0 pp
Atlético-MGFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 6,252 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 28, 10:30 PM UTC

Santos vs Palmeiras

Up to 26.8 percentage points between scenarios · Palmeiras: win league.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
SantosWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SantosFinish top 6	17.5%	32.7%	+15.2 pp
SantosFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
PalmeirasWin league	41.2%	27.0%	-14.3 pp
PalmeirasFinish top 6	100.0%	100.0%	+0.0 pp
PalmeirasFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 2,794 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 30, 12:30 AM UTC

Grêmio vs Athletico-PR

Up to 26.6 percentage points between scenarios · Grêmio: finish bottom 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
GrêmioWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GrêmioFinish top 6	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GrêmioFinish bottom 4	69.8%	55.8%	-13.9 pp
Athletico-PRWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Athletico-PRFinish top 6	93.3%	89.5%	-3.8 pp
Athletico-PRFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,252 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Süper Lig · Oct 26, 6:30 PM UTC

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce

Up to 26.5 percentage points between scenarios · Galatasaray: win league.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
GalatasarayWin league	54.7%	65.8%	+11.1 pp
GalatasarayFinish top 2	77.8%	85.8%	+7.9 pp
GalatasarayFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
FenerbahceWin league	22.8%	14.0%	-8.8 pp
FenerbahceFinish top 2	50.8%	42.2%	-8.6 pp
FenerbahceFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,912 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

La Liga · Oct 25, 8:00 PM UTC

Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Up to 26.5 percentage points between scenarios · Barcelona: win league.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
BarcelonaWin league	74.7%	84.0%	+9.3 pp
BarcelonaFinish top 4	99.9%	100.0%	+0.0 pp
BarcelonaFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Real MadridWin league	18.5%	10.0%	-8.5 pp
Real MadridFinish top 4	98.1%	97.4%	-0.7 pp
Real MadridFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,474 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 29, 11:00 PM UTC

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo

Up to 26.0 percentage points between scenarios · Flamengo: win league.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Vasco da GamaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Vasco da GamaFinish top 6	0.1%	0.3%	+0.2 pp
Vasco da GamaFinish bottom 4	11.0%	2.9%	-8.1 pp
FlamengoWin league	58.8%	44.9%	-13.8 pp
FlamengoFinish top 6	100.0%	100.0%	+0.0 pp
FlamengoFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 2,705 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Oct 24, 9:30 PM UTC

Palmeiras vs Red Bull Bragantino

Up to 24.9 percentage points between scenarios · Palmeiras: win league.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
PalmeirasWin league	41.2%	47.4%	+6.1 pp
PalmeirasFinish top 6	100.0%	100.0%	+0.0 pp
PalmeirasFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Red Bull BragantinoWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Red Bull BragantinoFinish top 6	2.6%	1.2%	-1.3 pp
Red Bull BragantinoFinish bottom 4	0.1%	0.2%	+0.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 6,770 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Bundesliga · Oct 31, 2:30 PM UTC

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07

Up to 24.2 percentage points between scenarios · Borussia Mönchengladbach: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Borussia MönchengladbachWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Borussia MönchengladbachFinish top 4	0.3%	0.5%	+0.2 pp
Borussia MönchengladbachFinish bottom 2	39.6%	30.6%	-9.1 pp
SC Paderborn 07Win league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SC Paderborn 07Finish top 4	0.2%	0.1%	-0.1 pp
SC Paderborn 07Finish bottom 2	40.4%	48.0%	+7.6 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,468 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Ligue 1 · Oct 31, 7:45 PM UTC

Troyes vs Le Mans

Up to 23.8 percentage points between scenarios · Troyes: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
TroyesWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
TroyesFinish top 3	0.0%	0.1%	+0.0 pp
TroyesFinish bottom 2	48.6%	37.8%	-10.8 pp
Le MansWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Le MansFinish top 3	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0 pp
Le MansFinish bottom 2	26.7%	35.6%	+8.9 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,321 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Primeira Liga · Oct 24, 2:30 PM UTC

Estrela vs Casa Pia

Up to 23.5 percentage points between scenarios · Casa Pia: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
EstrelaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
EstrelaFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
EstrelaFinish bottom 2	11.7%	6.7%	-5.0 pp
Casa PiaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Casa PiaFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Casa PiaFinish bottom 2	51.1%	60.3%	+9.3 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,405 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Premier League · Oct 25, 2:00 PM UTC

Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Up to 23.5 percentage points between scenarios · Liverpool: finish top 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
LiverpoolWin league	4.9%	6.6%	+1.7 pp
LiverpoolFinish top 4	57.4%	66.2%	+8.9 pp
LiverpoolFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
Brighton & Hove AlbionWin league	3.1%	1.8%	-1.2 pp
Brighton & Hove AlbionFinish top 4	48.2%	40.4%	-7.8 pp
Brighton & Hove AlbionFinish bottom 3	0.1%	0.1%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,180 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Süper Lig · Oct 25, 1:00 PM UTC

Konyaspor vs Genclerbirligi

Up to 22.6 percentage points between scenarios · Genclerbirligi: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
KonyasporWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
KonyasporFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
KonyasporFinish bottom 3	37.0%	28.3%	-8.7 pp
GenclerbirligiWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GenclerbirligiFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GenclerbirligiFinish bottom 3	39.3%	47.8%	+8.6 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,742 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Süper Lig · Oct 24, 1:00 PM UTC

Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB

Up to 22.5 percentage points between scenarios · Gaziantep FK: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Gaziantep FKWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Gaziantep FKFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Gaziantep FKFinish bottom 3	38.0%	28.2%	-9.7 pp
Erzurum BBWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Erzurum BBFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
Erzurum BBFinish bottom 3	28.4%	37.5%	+9.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,364 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Brasileirão Série A · Nov 2, 11:00 PM UTC

Red Bull Bragantino vs Santos

Up to 22.0 percentage points between scenarios · Santos: finish top 6.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Red Bull BragantinoWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Red Bull BragantinoFinish top 6	2.6%	4.8%	+2.2 pp
Red Bull BragantinoFinish bottom 4	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1 pp
SantosWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SantosFinish top 6	17.5%	9.8%	-7.7 pp
SantosFinish bottom 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,629 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Premier League · Oct 25, 4:30 PM UTC

Sunderland vs Leeds United

Up to 21.8 percentage points between scenarios · Sunderland: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
SunderlandWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SunderlandFinish top 4	0.1%	0.1%	+0.1 pp
SunderlandFinish bottom 3	53.3%	40.6%	-12.7 pp
Leeds UnitedWin league	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1 pp
Leeds UnitedFinish top 4	6.1%	3.6%	-2.5 pp
Leeds UnitedFinish bottom 3	4.0%	6.9%	+2.9 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,004 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Eredivisie · Nov 1, 11:15 AM UTC

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag

Up to 21.7 percentage points between scenarios · PEC Zwolle: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
PEC ZwolleWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
PEC ZwolleFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
PEC ZwolleFinish bottom 2	28.3%	18.6%	-9.7 pp
ADO Den HaagWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
ADO Den HaagFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
ADO Den HaagFinish bottom 2	26.4%	34.6%	+8.2 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,355 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Premier League · Oct 24, 2:00 PM UTC

Coventry City vs Fulham

Up to 21.5 percentage points between scenarios · Coventry City: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Coventry CityWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Coventry CityFinish top 4	0.1%	0.3%	+0.1 pp
Coventry CityFinish bottom 3	49.3%	37.3%	-12.0 pp
FulhamWin league	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
FulhamFinish top 4	0.7%	0.2%	-0.5 pp
FulhamFinish bottom 3	20.9%	29.9%	+9.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,415 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Eredivisie · Oct 31, 5:45 PM UTC

PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II

Up to 21.4 percentage points between scenarios · Willem II: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
PSV EindhovenWin league	56.0%	57.3%	+1.3 pp
PSV EindhovenFinish top 2	84.4%	85.5%	+1.1 pp
PSV EindhovenFinish bottom 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Willem IIWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Willem IIFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Willem IIFinish bottom 2	80.1%	81.3%	+1.2 pp

Conditional forecast from 8,977 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Ligue 1 · Nov 1, 4:15 PM UTC

Paris FC vs AS Monaco

Up to 21.3 percentage points between scenarios · AS Monaco: finish top 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Paris FCWin league	0.4%	0.7%	+0.4 pp
Paris FCFinish top 3	9.1%	14.8%	+5.7 pp
Paris FCFinish bottom 2	0.7%	0.1%	-0.5 pp
AS MonacoWin league	4.7%	2.4%	-2.4 pp
AS MonacoFinish top 3	45.9%	34.8%	-11.1 pp
AS MonacoFinish bottom 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,387 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

La Liga · Oct 24, 2:15 PM UTC

Racing Santander vs Espanyol

Up to 21.1 percentage points between scenarios · Racing Santander: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Racing SantanderWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Racing SantanderFinish top 4	0.2%	0.4%	+0.1 pp
Racing SantanderFinish bottom 3	39.0%	29.5%	-9.5 pp
EspanyolWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
EspanyolFinish top 4	0.4%	0.2%	-0.2 pp
EspanyolFinish bottom 3	24.7%	32.1%	+7.4 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,507 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Serie A · Oct 31, 7:45 PM UTC

AC Milan vs Internazionale

Up to 20.9 percentage points between scenarios · Internazionale: win league.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
AC MilanWin league	6.6%	11.6%	+5.0 pp
AC MilanFinish top 4	50.1%	61.9%	+11.8 pp
AC MilanFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
InternazionaleWin league	61.9%	50.3%	-11.6 pp
InternazionaleFinish top 4	94.7%	90.8%	-3.9 pp
InternazionaleFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,205 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Premier League · Oct 31, 3:00 PM UTC

Hull City vs Ipswich Town

Up to 20.8 percentage points between scenarios · Ipswich Town: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Hull CityWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Hull CityFinish top 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Hull CityFinish bottom 3	74.6%	62.6%	-12.0 pp
Ipswich TownWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Ipswich TownFinish top 4	0.2%	0.1%	-0.1 pp
Ipswich TownFinish bottom 3	38.1%	49.2%	+11.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,309 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Premier League · Oct 31, 3:00 PM UTC

Coventry City vs Sunderland

Up to 20.7 percentage points between scenarios · Coventry City: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Coventry CityWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Coventry CityFinish top 4	0.1%	0.2%	+0.1 pp
Coventry CityFinish bottom 3	49.3%	40.1%	-9.2 pp
SunderlandWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SunderlandFinish top 4	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1 pp
SunderlandFinish bottom 3	53.3%	61.4%	+8.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,171 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Serie A · Oct 28, 5:30 PM UTC

Parma vs Udinese

Up to 20.5 percentage points between scenarios · Parma: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
ParmaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
ParmaFinish top 4	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
ParmaFinish bottom 3	60.7%	50.2%	-10.5 pp
UdineseWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
UdineseFinish top 4	0.1%	0.1%	+0.0 pp
UdineseFinish bottom 3	43.9%	53.6%	+9.7 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,698 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Premier League · Oct 23, 7:00 PM UTC

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest

Up to 20.5 percentage points between scenarios · Ipswich Town: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Ipswich TownWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Ipswich TownFinish top 4	0.2%	0.5%	+0.3 pp
Ipswich TownFinish bottom 3	38.1%	26.5%	-11.6 pp
Nottingham ForestWin league	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
Nottingham ForestFinish top 4	0.9%	0.5%	-0.4 pp
Nottingham ForestFinish bottom 3	18.5%	26.2%	+7.7 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,358 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

La Liga · Nov 1, 5:30 PM UTC

Elche vs Valencia

Up to 20.5 percentage points between scenarios · Elche: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
ElcheWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
ElcheFinish top 4	0.3%	0.6%	+0.3 pp
ElcheFinish bottom 3	31.9%	22.2%	-9.7 pp
ValenciaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
ValenciaFinish top 4	0.3%	0.2%	-0.2 pp
ValenciaFinish bottom 3	26.8%	33.8%	+6.9 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,128 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Bundesliga · Oct 31, 2:30 PM UTC

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig

Up to 20.5 percentage points between scenarios · Schalke 04: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Schalke 04Win league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Schalke 04Finish top 4	0.1%	0.4%	+0.3 pp
Schalke 04Finish bottom 2	41.4%	28.2%	-13.2 pp
RB LeipzigWin league	1.0%	0.3%	-0.7 pp
RB LeipzigFinish top 4	40.9%	30.8%	-10.1 pp
RB LeipzigFinish bottom 2	0.2%	0.4%	+0.2 pp

Conditional forecast from 2,426 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Eredivisie · Oct 24, 4:45 PM UTC

Willem II vs SC Cambuur

Up to 20.4 percentage points between scenarios · SC Cambuur: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Willem IIWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Willem IIFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Willem IIFinish bottom 2	80.1%	71.6%	-8.5 pp
SC CambuurWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SC CambuurFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SC CambuurFinish bottom 2	28.9%	38.8%	+9.9 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,995 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Ligue 1 · Oct 25, 2:00 PM UTC

AS Monaco vs Lille

Up to 20.3 percentage points between scenarios · AS Monaco: finish top 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
AS MonacoWin league	4.7%	6.7%	+1.9 pp
AS MonacoFinish top 3	45.9%	55.1%	+9.2 pp
AS MonacoFinish bottom 2	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
LilleWin league	2.1%	1.3%	-0.8 pp
LilleFinish top 3	29.1%	21.3%	-7.8 pp
LilleFinish bottom 2	0.1%	0.2%	+0.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,514 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Primeira Liga · Oct 25, 3:30 PM UTC

Estoril vs Moreirense

Up to 20.3 percentage points between scenarios · Estoril: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
EstorilWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
EstorilFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
EstorilFinish bottom 2	29.9%	20.8%	-9.2 pp
MoreirenseWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
MoreirenseFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
MoreirenseFinish bottom 2	11.5%	15.5%	+3.9 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,515 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

EFL Championship · Oct 24, 2:00 PM UTC

West Ham United vs Southampton

Up to 20.3 percentage points between scenarios · West Ham United: win league.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
West Ham UnitedWin league	66.1%	72.9%	+6.8 pp
West Ham UnitedFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
West Ham UnitedAutomatic promotion	83.6%	88.1%	+4.5 pp
SouthamptonWin league	9.5%	5.9%	-3.6 pp
SouthamptonFinish bottom 3	0.1%	0.1%	+0.0 pp
SouthamptonAutomatic promotion	28.4%	23.0%	-5.4 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,788 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Bundesliga · Oct 24, 1:30 PM UTC

FC Cologne vs Schalke 04

Up to 20.2 percentage points between scenarios · Schalke 04: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
FC CologneWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
FC CologneFinish top 4	1.1%	1.7%	+0.6 pp
FC CologneFinish bottom 2	14.5%	9.4%	-5.1 pp
Schalke 04Win league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
Schalke 04Finish top 4	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0 pp
Schalke 04Finish bottom 2	41.4%	48.3%	+6.9 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,063 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Serie A · Nov 1, 5:00 PM UTC

Lecce vs Genoa

Up to 20.2 percentage points between scenarios · Lecce: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
LecceWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
LecceFinish top 4	0.1%	0.2%	+0.1 pp
LecceFinish bottom 3	41.6%	29.8%	-11.9 pp
GenoaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GenoaFinish top 4	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1 pp
GenoaFinish bottom 3	31.7%	42.0%	+10.3 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,297 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Serie A · Oct 31, 5:00 PM UTC

Udinese vs AS Roma

Up to 20.0 percentage points between scenarios · Udinese: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
UdineseWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
UdineseFinish top 4	0.1%	0.2%	+0.2 pp
UdineseFinish bottom 3	43.9%	30.1%	-13.8 pp
AS RomaWin league	14.9%	9.8%	-5.1 pp
AS RomaFinish top 4	72.0%	63.2%	-8.8 pp
AS RomaFinish bottom 3	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 2,125 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Bundesliga · Oct 24, 1:30 PM UTC

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburg SV

Up to 20.0 percentage points between scenarios · SC Paderborn 07: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
SC Paderborn 07Win league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
SC Paderborn 07Finish top 4	0.2%	0.4%	+0.2 pp
SC Paderborn 07Finish bottom 2	40.4%	30.4%	-10.0 pp
Hamburg SVWin league	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
Hamburg SVFinish top 4	2.3%	1.1%	-1.2 pp
Hamburg SVFinish bottom 2	10.0%	15.0%	+5.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 4,074 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

La Liga · Oct 31, 5:30 PM UTC

Real Betis vs Málaga

Up to 19.8 percentage points between scenarios · Real Betis: finish top 4.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
Real BetisWin league	0.3%	0.4%	+0.1 pp
Real BetisFinish top 4	50.8%	56.0%	+5.2 pp
Real BetisFinish bottom 3	0.1%	0.1%	-0.0 pp
MálagaWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
MálagaFinish top 4	0.0%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
MálagaFinish bottom 3	70.2%	74.3%	+4.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 6,530 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Ligue 1 · Oct 25, 4:15 PM UTC

Angers vs Lorient

Up to 19.8 percentage points between scenarios · Angers: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
AngersWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
AngersFinish top 3	0.1%	0.1%	+0.0 pp
AngersFinish bottom 2	39.1%	28.0%	-11.0 pp
LorientWin league	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1 pp
LorientFinish top 3	3.0%	1.6%	-1.5 pp
LorientFinish bottom 2	2.6%	4.6%	+2.0 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,324 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Serie A · Oct 29, 5:30 PM UTC

Frosinone vs Lecce

Up to 19.8 percentage points between scenarios · Lecce: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
FrosinoneWin league	0.1%	0.2%	+0.0 pp
FrosinoneFinish top 4	3.2%	4.2%	+1.1 pp
FrosinoneFinish bottom 3	4.9%	2.4%	-2.5 pp
LecceWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
LecceFinish top 4	0.1%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
LecceFinish bottom 3	41.6%	48.7%	+7.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 5,074 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Süper Lig · Nov 2, 5:00 PM UTC

Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor

Up to 19.7 percentage points between scenarios · Genclerbirligi: finish bottom 3.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
GenclerbirligiWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GenclerbirligiFinish top 2	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
GenclerbirligiFinish bottom 3	39.3%	28.2%	-11.0 pp
AlanyasporWin league	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1 pp
AlanyasporFinish top 2	0.5%	0.1%	-0.4 pp
AlanyasporFinish bottom 3	5.2%	8.3%	+3.1 pp

Conditional forecast from 3,282 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

Ligue 1 · Oct 31, 7:45 PM UTC

Lyon vs Angers

Up to 19.6 percentage points between scenarios · Angers: finish bottom 2.

What if this match ends with…

Club / outcome	Current forecast	If selected result	Change
LyonWin league	4.2%	4.8%	+0.6 pp
LyonFinish top 3	40.8%	45.7%	+4.8 pp
LyonFinish bottom 2	0.1%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
AngersWin league	0.0%	0.0%	+0.0 pp
AngersFinish top 3	0.1%	0.0%	-0.0 pp
AngersFinish bottom 2	39.1%	43.6%	+4.5 pp

Conditional forecast from 6,737 matching simulations. No assumed scoreline or post-match rating refit. Small differences can be simulation noise.

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