2026-27 projections
Eredivisie
Season outcomes from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Sep 10, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Qualification columns describe finishing in the listed league places. Cup-winner reallocations, titleholder places, performance spots and qualifying-round progression are excluded; these are not final qualification probabilities.
- Relegation includes a fixed one-third chance of losing the relegation playoff; the actual second-division opponent is not simulated.
| Club | World | Proj. pts | Pts | GP | UCL places* | Europe places* | Win league | Releg. playoff | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1PSV Eindhoven | #22 | 79.3 | 13 | 5 | 92% | 99% | 76% | — | — |
| 2AZ Alkmaar | #104 | 66.2 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 77% | 9% | — | — |
| 3Feyenoord Rotterdam | #71 | 66 | 11 | 5 | 35% | 77% | 8% | — | — |
| 4Ajax Amsterdam | #82 | 62.5 | 7 | 4 | 20% | 61% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 5FC Twente | #121 | 59.3 | 10 | 5 | 11% | 43% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 6NEC Nijmegen | #189 | 52.7 | 7 | 5 | 3% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7Go Ahead Eagles | #301 | 48.4 | 8 | 5 | <1% | 7% | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| 8Excelsior | #378 | 46.8 | 10 | 5 | <1% | 5% | <1% | 2% | 1% |
| 9FC Utrecht | #254 | 45.8 | 2 | 5 | <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 2% |
| 10FC Groningen | #352 | 45.5 | 7 | 5 | <1% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 2% |
| 11Heerenveen | #339 | 43.9 | 5 | 5 | <1% | 2% | <1% | 3% | 3% |
| 12Fortuna Sittard | #434 | 43.7 | 10 | 5 | <1% | 2% | <1% | 3% | 3% |
| 13Sparta Rotterdam | #404 | 40.2 | 5 | 5 | <1% | <1% | — | 7% | 7% |
| 14Telstar | #442 | 37.1 | 4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | — | 11% | 14% |
| 15PEC Zwolle | #476 | 36 | 4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | — | 14% | 17% |
| 16ADO Den Haag | — | 29.1 | 1 | 5 | — | <1% | — | 21% | 47% |
| 17Willem II | #541 | 26.6 | 1 | 4 | — | <1% | — | 20% | 60% |
| 18SC Cambuur | — | 23 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 13% | 78% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.