2026-27 projections
Eredivisie
Season outcomes from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Sep 28, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Qualification columns describe finishing in the listed league places. Cup-winner reallocations, titleholder places, performance spots and qualifying-round progression are excluded; these are not final qualification probabilities.
- Relegation includes a fixed one-third chance of losing the relegation playoff; the actual second-division opponent is not simulated.
| Club | World | Proj. pts | Pts | GP | UCL places* | Europe places* | Win league | Releg. playoff | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1PSV Eindhoven | #28 | 77.7 | 16 | 7 | 86% | 98% | 66% | — | — |
| 2Feyenoord Rotterdam | #57 | 69.9 | 17 | 7 | 52% | 88% | 18% | — | — |
| 3AZ Alkmaar | #116 | 65.2 | 19 | 7 | 24% | 69% | 7% | — | — |
| 4Ajax Amsterdam | #82 | 63.9 | 14 | 7 | 21% | 65% | 5% | — | — |
| 5FC Twente | #117 | 62.7 | 16 | 7 | 15% | 57% | 3% | — | — |
| 6Go Ahead Eagles | #318 | 47.6 | 10 | 7 | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7NEC Nijmegen | #244 | 47.6 | 8 | 7 | <1% | 4% | <1% | 1% | <1% |
| 8FC Groningen | #349 | 47.3 | 11 | 7 | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9FC Utrecht | #281 | 45.8 | 5 | 7 | <1% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 2% |
| 10Excelsior | #388 | 45.7 | 11 | 7 | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| 11Heerenveen | #337 | 45.6 | 9 | 7 | <1% | 3% | <1% | 2% | 1% |
| 12Fortuna Sittard | #459 | 43.8 | 13 | 7 | <1% | 1% | <1% | 3% | 2% |
| 13Sparta Rotterdam | #443 | 36.9 | 5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | — | 9% | 11% |
| 14Telstar | #456 | 36.5 | 5 | 7 | — | <1% | — | 10% | 13% |
| 15PEC Zwolle | #516 | 32 | 4 | 7 | — | <1% | — | 17% | 30% |
| 16SC Cambuur | — | 28.7 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | 19% | 48% |
| 17ADO Den Haag | — | 27.2 | 2 | 7 | — | — | — | 18% | 55% |
| 18Willem II | #548 | 25.1 | 2 | 7 | — | — | — | 16% | 67% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.