2026-27 projections
Eredivisie
Season outcomes from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Nov 9, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Qualification columns describe finishing in the listed league places. Cup-winner reallocations, titleholder places, performance spots and qualifying-round progression are excluded; these are not final qualification probabilities.
- Relegation includes a fixed one-third chance of losing the relegation playoff; the actual second-division opponent is not simulated.
| Club | World | Proj. pts | Pts | GP | UCL places* | Europe places* | Win league | Releg. playoff | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1PSV Eindhoven | #14 | 75.4 | 26 | 12 | 85% | 99% | 64% | — | — |
| 2Feyenoord Rotterdam | #46 | 68.1 | 25 | 12 | 44% | 86% | 15% | — | — |
| 3Ajax Amsterdam | #53 | 67.2 | 25 | 12 | 37% | 83% | 12% | — | — |
| 4FC Twente | #63 | 64.9 | 24 | 12 | 24% | 73% | 7% | — | — |
| 5AZ Alkmaar | #99 | 60.2 | 23 | 12 | 8% | 41% | 2% | — | — |
| 6Heerenveen | #202 | 53.1 | 21 | 12 | 1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7NEC Nijmegen | #171 | 46.4 | 14 | 12 | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| 8Fortuna Sittard | #371 | 46 | 20 | 12 | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 1% |
| 9Go Ahead Eagles | #269 | 45.2 | 17 | 12 | <1% | 1% | — | 2% | 2% |
| 10FC Groningen | #278 | 44.5 | 15 | 12 | <1% | <1% | — | 2% | 2% |
| 11FC Utrecht | #224 | 43.1 | 12 | 12 | <1% | <1% | — | 4% | 3% |
| 12SC Cambuur | #341 | 41 | 15 | 12 | — | <1% | — | 6% | 6% |
| 13Sparta Rotterdam | #372 | 37 | 12 | 12 | — | <1% | — | 12% | 14% |
| 14Telstar | #383 | 35.7 | 10 | 12 | — | <1% | — | 14% | 19% |
| 15Excelsior | #430 | 34.8 | 11 | 12 | — | <1% | — | 16% | 25% |
| 16PEC Zwolle | #461 | 33.9 | 12 | 12 | — | <1% | — | 19% | 28% |
| 17ADO Den Haag | #439 | 32.2 | 9 | 12 | — | <1% | — | 19% | 37% |
| 18Willem II | #565 | 18.7 | 3 | 12 | — | — | — | 3% | 96% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.