Change log

Movers

What shifted between model runs: ratings, global ranks, and projection odds, biggest swings first. Highlighted rows are the moves large enough to change a club’s season outlook.

vs 19:22 GMT · Oct 19

103 moves · 74 clubs

Slavia PragueCzech RepublicDrew 2–2 with Fenerbahce away (Champions League)

Global rank#371#306+65
Rating41.243.5+2.3

Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional (Clausura 2026)Beat Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 2–1 (Liga Profesional)

Chance to reach the playoffs61.4%81.2%+19.8

FenerbahceSüper LigDrew 2–2 with Slavia Prague (Champions League)

Chance to finish 9th–24th (Champions League)53.5%38.2%−15.3
Chance to reach the R16 (Champions League)27.6%17.1%−10.5
Chance to finish in the top 8 (Champions League)5.3%1.0%−4.2
Global rank#41#49−8
Chance to reach the quarterfinals (Champions League)8.0%5.1%−3.0
Rating61.060.5−0.5

ParmaSerie ANo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance of relegation50.5%61.0%+10.6
Global rank#273#291−18
Rating44.844.0−0.8

BragaPrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to finish in the listed European places76.7%67.0%−9.7
Rating56.055.6−0.4
Chance to reach the semifinals (Conference League)17.1%15.0%−2.0
Global rank#77#81−4

Gil VicentePrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to finish in the listed European places13.7%22.9%+9.1
Global rank#304#285+19
Rating43.544.2+0.7

TorinoSerie ANo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance of relegation19.0%11.2%−7.8
Global rank#200#187+13
Rating48.449.4+1.0
Chance to finish in the listed European places4.5%7.9%+3.4

CorinthiansBrasileirão Série ADrew 1–1 with Vitória (Brasileirão Série A)

Chance of relegation31.1%38.2%+7.2
Global rank#135#139−4

Borussia DortmundBundesligaBeat SABAH FK 2–1 away (Champions League)

Chance to reach the R16 (Champions League)52.6%58.7%+6.0
Chance to finish in the top 8 (Champions League)16.4%21.0%+4.6
Chance to finish 9th–24th (Champions League)66.6%70.0%+3.4
Chance to reach the quarterfinals (Champions League)23.3%25.3%+2.1

Coventry CityPremier LeagueNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance of relegation44.4%50.1%+5.7
Global rank#94#98−4
Rating54.754.4−0.3

San LorenzoLiga Profesional (Clausura 2026)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the playoffs39.7%34.2%−5.5

Unión (Santa Fe)Liga Profesional (Clausura 2026)Drew 1–1 with Deportivo Riestra away (Liga Profesional)

Chance to reach the playoffs11.7%6.4%−5.3

BenficaPrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the final (Europa League)27.7%31.4%+3.8
Chance to reach the semifinals (Europa League)45.6%49.3%+3.6
Chance to reach the quarterfinals (Europa League)69.8%73.2%+3.4
Chance to win the Europa League15.8%18.3%+2.5

SABAH FKLost 2–1 to Borussia Dortmund (Champions League)

Chance to finish 9th–24th (Champions League)10.7%7.0%−3.7

Tottenham HotspurPremier LeagueNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to finish in the listed European places11.5%14.8%+3.3
Chance of relegation12.0%9.0%−3.1
Rating63.864.1+0.3

Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier LeagueNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the semifinals (FA Cup)19.8%22.8%+3.0
Chance to reach the final (FA Cup)10.3%12.4%+2.1

AméricaLiga MX (Apertura 2026)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to win Liga MX (Apertura 2026)29.4%32.5%+3.0

VitóriaBrasileirão Série ADrew 1–1 with Corinthians away (Brasileirão Série A)

Chance of relegation12.1%9.1%−3.0
Global rank#233#229+4

Estudiantes de La PlataLiga Profesional (Clausura 2026)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the playoffs15.3%12.5%−2.8

FC TwenteEredivisieNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the semifinals (KNVB Beker)33.2%35.8%+2.6

FC GroningenEredivisieNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (KNVB Beker)63.2%60.7%−2.6

AC MilanSerie ANo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the quarterfinals (Europa League)44.5%42.1%−2.5

SK BrannEliteserienNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the quarterfinals (Conference League)23.9%26.4%+2.5

Cruz AzulLiga MX (Apertura 2026)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to win Liga MX (Apertura 2026)14.5%12.2%−2.4

RangersScottish PremiershipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to win the Scottish League Cup45.7%43.4%−2.4

BrentfordPremier LeagueNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the quarterfinals (FA Cup)31.9%34.3%+2.4

Lower-league qualifier (aggregate)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (FA Cup)33.0%35.4%+2.4

Atlético TucumánLiga Profesional (Clausura 2026)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the final (Copa Argentina)53.3%51.1%−2.3

PlatenseLiga Profesional (Clausura 2026)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the final (Copa Argentina)46.7%48.9%+2.3

St JohnstoneScottish PremiershipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (Scottish Cup)63.1%65.4%+2.2

Red Star BelgradeNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (Conference League)41.3%43.5%+2.2

SC FreiburgBundesligaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (DFB-Pokal)67.5%65.3%−2.2

VfL Wolfsburg2. BundesligaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (DFB-Pokal)32.6%34.8%+2.2

PSV EindhovenEredivisieNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the semifinals (KNVB Beker)57.8%55.6%−2.2

Heart of MidlothianScottish PremiershipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to win the Scottish League Cup26.4%28.5%+2.1

Real MadridLa LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the semifinals (Champions League)29.2%27.1%−2.1

AFC BournemouthPremier LeagueNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (FA Cup)52.1%54.2%+2.1

Nottingham ForestPremier LeagueNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (FA Cup)46.0%43.9%−2.1

HibernianScottish PremiershipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the semifinals (Scottish Cup)34.0%31.9%−2.1

RB LeipzigBundesligaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to finish 9th–24th (Champions League)56.7%58.7%+2.0

TrabzonsporSüper LigNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#84#89−5

ToulouseLigue 1No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#97#92+5

GoztepeSüper LigNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#228#233−5

VeronaSerie BNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#313#308+5

Atlético GoianienseBrazilNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#308#313−5

KasimpasaSüper LigNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#342#347−5

Sarmiento (Junín)Liga Profesional (Clausura 2026)Drew 1–1 with Barracas Central (Liga Profesional)

Global rank#354#359−5

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)Liga Profesional (Clausura 2026)Lost 2–1 to Newell's Old Boys away (Liga Profesional)

Global rank#365#370−5

SivassporTurkeyNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#406#411−5

KaragumrukTurkeyNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#438#443−5

TorreenseNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to finish 9th–24th (Europa League)52.8%50.7%−2.0

GetafeLa LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#226#230−4

SamsunsporSüper LigNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#306#310−4

AlanyasporSüper LigNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#314#318−4

AroucaPrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#324#320+4

Cercle Brugge KSVBelgian Pro LeagueNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#345#349−4

Derby CountyEFL ChampionshipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#370#374−4

FC DallasMLSNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#178#181−3

FC FamalicaoPrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#219#216+3

Birmingham CityEFL ChampionshipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#261#264−3

Atlético de San LuisLiga MX (Apertura 2026)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#318#321−3

Luton TownEnglandNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#336#339−3

EstorilPrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#363#360+3

Caykur RizesporSüper LigNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#362#365−3

PortsmouthEFL ChampionshipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#398#401−3

C.D. NacionalPrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#458#455+3

Bolton WanderersEFL ChampionshipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#455#458−3

Rio AvePrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#462#459+3

Casa PiaPrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#505#502+3

Lyngby BoldklubDanish SuperligaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#516#513+3

OsterAllsvenskanNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#517#514+3

Lincoln CityEFL ChampionshipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#512#515−3

TondelaPortugalNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#528#525+3

Beerschot VABelgiumNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Global rank#524#527−3