Change log

Movers

What shifted between model runs: ratings, global ranks, and projection odds, biggest swings first. Highlighted rows are the moves large enough to change a club’s season outlook.

vs 15:28 GMT · Sep 28

17 moves · 14 clubs

FC UtrechtEredivisieNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the quarterfinals (KNVB Beker)43.2%40.4%−2.9

InternazionaleSerie ANo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to win Coppa Italia28.2%25.5%−2.7
Chance to reach the final (Coppa Italia)45.6%43.1%−2.5
Chance to reach the R16 (Champions League)72.2%70.0%−2.2
Chance to reach the quarterfinals (Champions League)39.4%37.4%−2.1

LensLigue 1No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (Champions League)39.6%36.9%−2.6

VikingEliteserienNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (Champions League)18.9%16.4%−2.5

FC PortoPrimeira LigaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (Champions League)48.7%51.1%+2.4

Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the final (Champions League)18.6%16.3%−2.3

ArsenalPremier LeagueNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the final (FA Cup)29.3%27.1%−2.2

Vélez SarsfieldLiga Profesional (Clausura 2026)No recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to win Liga Profesional (Clausura 2026)7.4%9.6%+2.2

Bayern MunichBundesligaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the semifinals (Champions League)46.2%48.3%+2.2

PalermoSerie BNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the quarterfinals (Coppa Italia)27.8%25.6%−2.1

West Ham UnitedEFL ChampionshipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (FA Cup)43.0%40.9%−2.1

Borussia DortmundBundesligaNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the semifinals (Champions League)13.1%11.0%−2.1

KilmarnockScottish PremiershipNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the quarterfinals (Scottish Cup)39.3%37.3%−2.0

AEK AthensSuper League GreeceNo recorded match in this window. Changes can reflect other results, data corrections or simulation variation; the cause has not been isolated.

Chance to reach the R16 (Champions League)37.2%39.2%+2.0