2026-27 projections
Süper Lig
Season outcomes from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Sep 10, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Qualification columns describe finishing in the listed league places. Cup-winner reallocations, titleholder places, performance spots and qualifying-round progression are excluded; these are not final qualification probabilities.
- Tied teams use a head-to-head points/GD mini-table, then overall GD/GF. Recursive subgroup rules, disciplinary criteria and special title/relegation deciding matches remain approximations.
| Club | World | Proj. pts | Pts | GP | UCL places* | Europe places* | Win league | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Galatasaray | #32 | 71.8 | 10 | 4 | 82% | 98% | 59% | — |
| 2Fenerbahce | #45 | 65.6 | 6 | 4 | 56% | 92% | 24% | <1% |
| 3Besiktas | #99 | 60.5 | 9 | 4 | 29% | 79% | 9% | <1% |
| 4Trabzonspor | #111 | 57.2 | 7 | 4 | 18% | 67% | 5% | <1% |
| 5Istanbul Basaksehir | #164 | 51.8 | 4 | 4 | 6% | 42% | 1% | 2% |
| 6Samsunspor | #241 | 46.9 | 4 | 4 | 2% | 21% | <1% | 8% |
| 7Alanyaspor | #307 | 46.2 | 7 | 4 | 2% | 17% | <1% | 8% |
| 8Amed SFK | — | 45.3 | 7 | 4 | 1% | 16% | <1% | 10% |
| 9Çorum FK | — | 44.2 | 4 | 4 | <1% | 14% | <1% | 14% |
| 10Kocaelispor | #414 | 43.5 | 9 | 4 | <1% | 9% | <1% | 12% |
| 11Goztepe | #266 | 42.6 | 1 | 4 | <1% | 10% | <1% | 17% |
| 12Caykur Rizespor | #366 | 42.5 | 6 | 4 | <1% | 9% | <1% | 16% |
| 13Kasimpasa | #370 | 42.5 | 6 | 4 | <1% | 9% | <1% | 17% |
| 14Gaziantep FK | #411 | 40.6 | 7 | 4 | <1% | 6% | <1% | 22% |
| 15Genclerbirligi | #436 | 40.3 | 7 | 4 | <1% | 5% | <1% | 24% |
| 16Eyupspor | #430 | 36.3 | 3 | 4 | <1% | 2% | — | 42% |
| 17Konyaspor | #384 | 35.2 | 0 | 4 | <1% | 2% | — | 48% |
| 18Erzurum BB | — | 32.7 | 4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | — | 60% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.