2026-27 projections
Süper Lig
Season outcomes from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Nov 9, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Qualification columns describe finishing in the listed league places. Cup-winner reallocations, titleholder places, performance spots and qualifying-round progression are excluded; these are not final qualification probabilities.
- Tied teams use a head-to-head points/GD mini-table, then overall GD/GF. Recursive subgroup rules, disciplinary criteria and special title/relegation deciding matches remain approximations.
| Club | World | Proj. pts | Pts | GP | UCL places* | Europe places* | Win league | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Galatasaray | #35 | 75.7 | 28 | 11 | 88% | 99% | 68% | — |
| 2Trabzonspor | #77 | 66.5 | 25 | 11 | 41% | 91% | 14% | — |
| 3Fenerbahce | #43 | 64.7 | 19 | 11 | 32% | 87% | 8% | — |
| 4Besiktas | #83 | 62.1 | 22 | 11 | 19% | 78% | 5% | — |
| 5Amed SFK | #114 | 61.1 | 23 | 11 | 17% | 72% | 4% | — |
| 6Istanbul Basaksehir | #159 | 53.6 | 17 | 11 | 2% | 30% | <1% | <1% |
| 7Kasimpasa | #324 | 49.6 | 20 | 11 | <1% | 14% | <1% | <1% |
| 8Goztepe | #218 | 47.9 | 15 | 11 | <1% | 10% | <1% | 2% |
| 9Çorum FK | #257 | 47.4 | 16 | 11 | <1% | 10% | <1% | 2% |
| 10Kocaelispor | #369 | 46.7 | 19 | 11 | <1% | 6% | <1% | 1% |
| 11Caykur Rizespor | #358 | 41.1 | 14 | 11 | <1% | 2% | — | 10% |
| 12Alanyaspor | #370 | 39 | 12 | 11 | — | <1% | — | 16% |
| 13Erzurum BB | #472 | 37.1 | 14 | 11 | — | <1% | — | 23% |
| 14Genclerbirligi | #442 | 36.7 | 11 | 11 | — | <1% | — | 27% |
| 15Samsunspor | #336 | 36.1 | 7 | 11 | — | <1% | — | 29% |
| 16Konyaspor | #393 | 35.3 | 8 | 11 | — | <1% | — | 33% |
| 17Gaziantep FK | #469 | 30.8 | 8 | 11 | — | <1% | — | 61% |
| 18Eyupspor | #548 | 22.4 | 3 | 11 | — | — | — | 94% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.