2026-27 projections
Süper Lig
Season outcomes from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Oct 20, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Qualification columns describe finishing in the listed league places. Cup-winner reallocations, titleholder places, performance spots and qualifying-round progression are excluded; these are not final qualification probabilities.
- Tied teams use a head-to-head points/GD mini-table, then overall GD/GF. Recursive subgroup rules, disciplinary criteria and special title/relegation deciding matches remain approximations.
| Club | World | Proj. pts | Pts | GP | UCL places* | Europe places* | Win league | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Galatasaray | #39 | 71 | 19 | 8 | 76% | 97% | 52% | — |
| 2Fenerbahce | #49 | 66.1 | 16 | 8 | 52% | 91% | 24% | <1% |
| 3Trabzonspor | #89 | 62.2 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 82% | 11% | <1% |
| 4Besiktas | #95 | 60.2 | 15 | 8 | 21% | 74% | 8% | <1% |
| 5Amed SFK | — | 56.5 | 17 | 8 | 11% | 56% | 4% | <1% |
| 6Çorum FK | — | 52.3 | 13 | 8 | 5% | 34% | 1% | 1% |
| 7Istanbul Basaksehir | #174 | 50.6 | 11 | 8 | 3% | 26% | <1% | 1% |
| 8Kasimpasa | #347 | 45.7 | 13 | 8 | <1% | 10% | <1% | 5% |
| 9Alanyaspor | #318 | 45.2 | 12 | 8 | <1% | 8% | <1% | 5% |
| 10Goztepe | #233 | 45 | 9 | 8 | <1% | 10% | <1% | 6% |
| 11Kocaelispor | #403 | 42.3 | 12 | 8 | <1% | 4% | — | 10% |
| 12Caykur Rizespor | #365 | 41.4 | 10 | 8 | <1% | 4% | — | 14% |
| 13Erzurum BB | — | 37.4 | 11 | 8 | <1% | <1% | — | 28% |
| 14Samsunspor | #310 | 37.3 | 4 | 8 | <1% | 1% | — | 30% |
| 15Konyaspor | #381 | 35.9 | 5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 37% |
| 16Gaziantep FK | #432 | 35.8 | 8 | 8 | — | <1% | — | 38% |
| 17Genclerbirligi | #467 | 35.6 | 8 | 8 | <1% | <1% | — | 39% |
| 18Eyupspor | #516 | 27 | 3 | 8 | — | <1% | — | 84% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.