2026-27 projections
Süper Lig
Season outcomes from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Sep 28, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Qualification columns describe finishing in the listed league places. Cup-winner reallocations, titleholder places, performance spots and qualifying-round progression are excluded; these are not final qualification probabilities.
- Tied teams use a head-to-head points/GD mini-table, then overall GD/GF. Recursive subgroup rules, disciplinary criteria and special title/relegation deciding matches remain approximations.
| Club | World | Proj. pts | Pts | GP | UCL places* | Europe places* | Win league | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Galatasaray | #35 | 69.7 | 13 | 6 | 74% | 97% | 51% | — |
| 2Fenerbahce | #38 | 65.4 | 10 | 6 | 54% | 91% | 26% | <1% |
| 3Besiktas | #83 | 60.5 | 12 | 6 | 29% | 77% | 11% | <1% |
| 4Trabzonspor | #93 | 57.9 | 10 | 6 | 18% | 67% | 6% | <1% |
| 5Amed SFK | — | 56.1 | 13 | 6 | 14% | 57% | 5% | <1% |
| 6Istanbul Basaksehir | #156 | 50.4 | 7 | 6 | 4% | 29% | <1% | 2% |
| 7Alanyaspor | #286 | 47.5 | 11 | 6 | 2% | 18% | <1% | 5% |
| 8Çorum FK | — | 47.5 | 7 | 6 | 2% | 20% | <1% | 6% |
| 9Kocaelispor | #385 | 45.1 | 12 | 6 | <1% | 10% | <1% | 7% |
| 10Caykur Rizespor | #324 | 44.2 | 10 | 6 | <1% | 10% | <1% | 10% |
| 11Kasimpasa | #357 | 44 | 10 | 6 | <1% | 9% | <1% | 10% |
| 12Samsunspor | #265 | 41.3 | 4 | 6 | <1% | 5% | <1% | 18% |
| 13Goztepe | #256 | 40.7 | 3 | 6 | <1% | 5% | <1% | 20% |
| 14Gaziantep FK | #407 | 38.9 | 8 | 6 | <1% | 3% | <1% | 27% |
| 15Konyaspor | #371 | 37 | 4 | 6 | <1% | 2% | <1% | 36% |
| 16Genclerbirligi | #458 | 36 | 7 | 6 | <1% | <1% | — | 41% |
| 17Erzurum BB | — | 34.1 | 7 | 6 | — | <1% | — | 51% |
| 18Eyupspor | #475 | 31.1 | 3 | 6 | — | <1% | — | 67% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.