2026 projections
Copa Argentina
Season outcomes from 4,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Sep 28, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Undrawn rounds and lower-division strengths are approximated. Aggregate placeholder rows represent several clubs. Some hosting and entry/bracket constraints are simplified. Completed first legs are retained. Extra time uses proportional scoring rates and penalties are a 50/50 split.
| Club | World | Enters | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Boca Juniors | #49 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 70% | 44% |
| 2Estudiantes de La Plata | #97 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 61% | 36% | 18% |
| 3Atlético Tucumán | #280 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 45% | 18% |
| 4Banfield | #351 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 30% | 13% |
| 5Platense | #334 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 39% | 19% | 7% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.