2026 projections
Copa Argentina
Season outcomes from 4,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Sep 10, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Undrawn rounds and lower-division strengths are approximated. Aggregate placeholder rows represent several clubs. Some hosting and entry/bracket constraints are simplified. Completed first legs are retained. Extra time uses proportional scoring rates and penalties are a 50/50 split.
| Club | World | Enters | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Boca Juniors | #55 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 57% | 36% | 22% |
| 2Estudiantes de La Plata | #98 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 61% | 34% | 19% |
| 3Independiente Rivadavia | #113 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 59% | 30% | 16% |
| 4Banfield | #364 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 39% | 14% |
| 5Racing Club | #96 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 43% | 25% | 14% |
| 6Atlético Tucumán | #274 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 41% | 18% | 8% |
| 7Platense | #334 | R64 | 100% | 100% | 39% | 17% | 7% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.