2026-27 projections
Scottish League Cup
Season outcomes from 4,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Sep 10, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Undrawn rounds and lower-division strengths are approximated. Aggregate placeholder rows represent several clubs. Some hosting and entry/bracket constraints are simplified. Completed first legs are retained. Extra time uses proportional scoring rates and penalties are a 50/50 split.
| Club | World | Enters | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celtic | #11 | R2 | 100% | 100% | 48% | 36% | 26% |
| 2Rangers | #29 | R2 | 100% | 100% | 52% | 36% | 23% |
| 3Heart of Midlothian | #59 | R2 | 100% | 100% | 67% | 37% | 19% |
| 4Hibernian | #100 | R2 | 100% | 100% | 56% | 27% | 12% |
| 5Aberdeen | #277 | R2 | 100% | 100% | 48% | 17% | 6% |
| 6Ross County | #336 | R2 | 100% | 100% | 44% | 17% | 5% |
| 7Kilmarnock | #343 | R2 | 100% | 100% | 52% | 18% | 5% |
| 8Stenhousemuir | — | R2 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 12% | 3% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.