2026-27 projections
Coppa Italia
Season outcomes from 4,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Nov 9, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Undrawn rounds and lower-division strengths are approximated. Aggregate placeholder rows represent several clubs. Some hosting and entry/bracket constraints are simplified. Completed first legs are retained. Extra time uses proportional scoring rates and penalties are a 50/50 split.
| Club | World | Enters | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Internazionale | #8 | R16 | 100% | 81% | 56% | 40% | 25% |
| 2AS Roma | #24 | R16 | 100% | 82% | 47% | 26% | 14% |
| 3Juventus | #25 | R16 | 100% | 77% | 46% | 27% | 14% |
| 4Como | #34 | R16 | 100% | 79% | 44% | 24% | 13% |
| 5AC Milan | #39 | R16 | 100% | 72% | 37% | 18% | 9% |
| 6Napoli | #41 | R16 | 100% | 64% | 34% | 17% | 8% |
| 7Atalanta | #50 | R16 | 100% | 73% | 35% | 16% | 7% |
| 8Bologna | #81 | R16 | 100% | 64% | 27% | 11% | 5% |
| 9Fiorentina | #80 | R1 | 100% | 36% | 16% | 6% | 2% |
| 10Palermo | #167 | R1 | 100% | 36% | 13% | 4% | 1% |
| 11Genoa | #174 | R1 | 100% | 19% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| 12Monza | #217 | R1 | 100% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| 13Sassuolo | #186 | R1 | 100% | 23% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| 14Udinese | #241 | R1 | 100% | 27% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| 15Cremonese | #316 | R1 | 100% | 21% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| 16Verona | #301 | R1 | 100% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.