2026-27 projections
Coppa Italia
Season outcomes from 4,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Use the arrow beside a club for its finishing-position distribution, where available.
As of Sep 28, 2026
What these probabilities include
- Undrawn rounds and lower-division strengths are approximated. Aggregate placeholder rows represent several clubs. Some hosting and entry/bracket constraints are simplified. Completed first legs are retained. Extra time uses proportional scoring rates and penalties are a 50/50 split.
| Club | World | Enters | R16 | QF | SF | Final | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Internazionale | #8 | R16 | 100% | 83% | 60% | 43% | 25% |
| 2Juventus | #22 | R16 | 100% | 79% | 45% | 29% | 16% |
| 3AS Roma | #27 | R16 | 100% | 77% | 40% | 24% | 13% |
| 4AC Milan | #39 | R16 | 100% | 73% | 42% | 20% | 9% |
| 5Napoli | #41 | R16 | 100% | 73% | 40% | 18% | 9% |
| 6Atalanta | #40 | R16 | 100% | 74% | 40% | 19% | 9% |
| 7Como | #48 | R16 | 100% | 71% | 36% | 16% | 7% |
| 8Bologna | #86 | R16 | 100% | 63% | 22% | 10% | 4% |
| 9Fiorentina | #76 | R1 | 100% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 3% |
| 10Sassuolo | #132 | R1 | 100% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 1% |
| 11Genoa | #194 | R1 | 100% | 27% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| 12Udinese | #192 | R1 | 100% | 26% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| 13Monza | #202 | R1 | 100% | 27% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| 14Palermo | #181 | R1 | 100% | 26% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| 15Cremonese | #310 | R1 | 100% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 16Verona | #347 | R1 | 100% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
Probabilities are shares of simulated seasons. Columns with several qualifying places sum to the number of places; nested outcomes overlap. Rounding can cause small differences. Cells shade with likelihood; the printed number is the estimate.