Pollster record · how records are scored
Remington Research Group
Method: live phone mix · scored polls from 2012 to 2024
Versus the field
−0.12
points of error vs. other pollsters in the same races, after shrinkage (unshrunk −0.27; 31% own record)
Average miss
5.7
points on the margin, as published
House effect
R+0.5
lean relative to other polls of the same races
Scored polls
88
52 races · 2 polls this cycle
By cycle
Record over time
Error relative to other pollsters in the same races (negative is better), and lean relative to them. Cycles with fewer than 10 scored polls are grayed: a handful of polls says little.
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. miss | Versus the field | Lean vs. field |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 1 | 10.4 | +4.7 | R+2.1 |
| 2014 | 4 | 4.4 | −3.6 | R+3.6 |
| 2016 | 38 | 6.2 | +0.1 | R+1.0 |
| 2018 | 8 | 4.4 | −1.9 | R+2.6 |
| 2020 | 11 | 9.5 | +2.1 | R+2.0 |
| 2022 | 11 | 4.0 | −0.4 | R+3.8 |
| 2024 | 15 | 3.7 | −0.7 | D+2.2 |
This cycle
2026 polls in the database
| Ended | Race | Matchup | As published |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | MO-2 | Fred Wellman v. Ann Wagner | R+1 |
The receipts
Most recent scored polls
Polls in the final two months of a race with a certified result. “Others” is the average miss of other pollsters in the same race.
| Poll date | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Others' miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2024 Governor, MO | R+11 | R+20.4 | D+9.4 | D+4.8 |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2024 President, MO | R+14 | R+18.4 | D+4.4 | D+5.2 |
| Oct 3, 2024 | 2024 Governor, MO | R+10 | R+20.4 | D+10.4 | D+4.8 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 Senate, WIR-ALIGNED | D+2 | D+0.8 | D+1.2 | D+2.9 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 President, PAR-ALIGNED | R+1 | R+1.7 | D+0.7 | D+2.5 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 President, MIR-ALIGNED | D+2 | R+1.4 | D+3.4 | D+3.6 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 President, NVR-ALIGNED | R+1 | R+3.1 | D+2.1 | D+3.6 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 President, MTR-ALIGNED | R+17 | R+19.9 | D+2.9 | D+0.9 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 President, WIR-ALIGNED | Even | R+0.9 | D+0.9 | D+2.9 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 Senate, MIR-ALIGNED | D+7 | D+0.3 | D+6.7 | D+4.0 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 Senate, MTR-ALIGNED | R+8 | R+7.1 | R+0.9 | D+2.1 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 Senate, NVR-ALIGNED | D+6 | D+1.6 | D+4.4 | D+5.7 |
| Sep 20, 2024 | 2024 Senate, PAR-ALIGNED | D+4 | R+0.2 | D+4.2 | D+4.6 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | 2024 Senate, MO | R+15 | R+13.7 | R+1.3 | D+4.8 |
| Sep 5, 2024 | 2024 Governor, MO | R+18 | R+20.4 | D+2.4 | D+4.8 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Senate, AZ | D+1 | D+4.9 | R+3.9 | R+0.8 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Governor, AZ | R+3 | D+0.7 | R+3.7 | R+1.6 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Governor, GA | R+14 | R+7.5 | R+6.5 | D+0.7 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Governor, OH | R+23 | R+25.0 | D+2.0 | D+6.3 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Governor, PA | D+12 | D+14.8 | R+2.8 | R+3.9 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Senate, GA | R+4 | D+1.0 | R+5.0 | D+0.4 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Senate, NC | R+7 | R+3.2 | R+3.8 | D+0.7 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Senate, OH | R+5 | R+6.1 | D+1.1 | D+4.4 |
| Nov 2, 2022 | 2022 Senate, PA | R+3 | D+4.9 | R+7.9 | R+2.4 |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2022 Senate, MO | R+9 | R+13.3 | D+4.3 | D+2.1 |
| Sep 15, 2022 | 2022 Governor, AR | R+25 | R+27.8 | D+2.8 | D+13.0 |
| Nov 9, 2020 | 2020 Senate, GA | R+1 | D+2.1 | R+3.1 | R+0.9 |
| Nov 9, 2020 | 2020 Senate, GA | R+4 | D+1.2 | R+5.2 | R+0.5 |
| Oct 29, 2020 | 2020 Governor, MO | R+6 | R+16.4 | D+10.4 | D+9.5 |
| Oct 29, 2020 | 2020 President, MO | R+5 | R+15.4 | D+10.4 | D+7.3 |
| Oct 15, 2020 | 2020 President, MO | R+6 | R+15.4 | D+9.4 | D+7.3 |
| Oct 15, 2020 | 2020 Governor, MO | R+8 | R+16.4 | D+8.4 | D+9.5 |
| Oct 1, 2020 | 2020 President, MO | R+5 | R+15.4 | D+10.4 | D+7.3 |
| Oct 1, 2020 | 2020 Governor, MO | R+7 | R+16.4 | D+9.4 | D+9.5 |
| Sep 17, 2020 | 2020 President, MO | R+8 | R+15.4 | D+7.4 | D+7.3 |
| Sep 17, 2020 | 2020 Senate, MAR-ALIGNED | D+10 | D+33.1 | R+23.1 | D+1.9 |
| Sep 17, 2020 | 2020 Governor, MO | R+9 | R+16.4 | D+7.4 | D+9.5 |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2018 Senate, MO | Even | R+5.8 | D+5.8 | D+5.1 |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2018 Senate, MO | R+4 | R+5.8 | D+1.8 | D+5.1 |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2018 Senate, MO | R+1 | R+5.8 | D+4.8 | D+5.1 |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2018 House, FL-15R-ALIGNED | R+6 | R+6.0 | Even | D+4.0 |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2018 House, KS-1R-ALIGNED | R+34 | R+36.3 | D+2.3 | D+20.2 |
| Oct 1, 2018 | 2018 Governor, KSR-ALIGNED | D+1 | D+5.1 | R+4.1 | R+5.4 |
| Sep 27, 2018 | 2018 Senate, MO | R+2 | R+5.8 | D+3.8 | D+5.1 |
| Sep 20, 2018 | 2018 House, KS-3R-ALIGNED | R+3 | D+9.7 | R+12.7 | R+0.7 |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 President, VA | D+2 | D+5.3 | R+3.3 | D+1.2 |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 President, PA | D+1 | R+0.7 | D+1.7 | D+5.5 |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 President, OH | R+1 | R+8.1 | D+7.1 | D+7.8 |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 President, WI | D+8 | R+0.8 | D+8.8 | D+6.1 |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 President, NV | R+1 | D+2.4 | R+3.4 | R+1.4 |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 President, CO | D+1 | D+4.9 | R+3.9 | R+0.5 |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 President, NC | R+3 | R+3.7 | D+0.7 | D+5.1 |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2016 President, FL | R+3 | R+1.2 | R+1.8 | D+3.4 |
| Oct 31, 2016 | 2016 Governor, MO | R+1 | R+5.6 | D+4.6 | D+8.7 |
| Oct 31, 2016 | 2016 President, MO | R+13 | R+18.6 | D+5.6 | D+7.2 |
| Oct 31, 2016 | 2016 Senate, MO | R+4 | R+2.8 | R+1.2 | D+1.1 |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2016 President, NV | R+4 | D+2.4 | R+6.4 | R+1.4 |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2016 President, OH | R+5 | R+8.1 | D+3.1 | D+7.8 |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2016 President, PA | D+2 | R+0.7 | D+2.7 | D+5.5 |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2016 President, NC | R+2 | R+3.7 | D+1.7 | D+5.1 |