Pollster record · how records are scored
Maine People's Resource Center
Method: ivr · scored polls from 2010 to 2022
Versus the field
−0.10
points of error vs. other pollsters in the same races, after shrinkage (unshrunk −1.06; 9% own record)
Average miss
4.9
points on the margin, as published
House effect
R+0.2
lean relative to other polls of the same races
Scored polls
30
15 races · 1 polls this cycle
By cycle
Record over time
Error relative to other pollsters in the same races (negative is better), and lean relative to them. Cycles with fewer than 10 scored polls are grayed: a handful of polls says little.
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. miss | Versus the field | Lean vs. field |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 1 | 11.7 | −4.5 | R+5.2 |
| 2012 | 12 | 3.9 | −0.2 | R+0.7 |
| 2014 | 4 | 7.7 | +0.9 | R+0.9 |
| 2016 | 12 | 4.5 | −2.9 | R+1.5 |
| 2022 | 1 | 2.3 | −2.0 | D+0.2 |
This cycle
2026 polls in the database
| Ended | Race | Matchup | As published |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Senate ME | Troy Jackson v. Susan Collins | D+2 |
The receipts
Most recent scored polls
Polls in the final two months of a race with a certified result. “Others” is the average miss of other pollsters in the same race.
| Poll date | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Others' miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2022 | 2022 Governor, ME | D+11 | D+13.2 | R+2.3 | R+2.6 |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2016 President, ME | D+5 | D+3.0 | D+2.0 | D+4.1 |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2016 President, M2 | R+3 | R+10.3 | D+6.9 | D+7.3 |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2016 President, M1 | D+12 | D+14.8 | R+3.3 | R+1.2 |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2016 President, ME | D+6 | D+3.0 | D+3.0 | D+4.1 |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2016 President, M2 | D+1 | R+10.3 | D+11.5 | D+7.3 |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2016 President, M1 | D+10 | D+14.8 | R+4.8 | R+1.2 |
| Oct 8, 2016 | 2016 President, ME | D+8 | D+3.0 | D+4.9 | D+4.1 |
| Oct 8, 2016 | 2016 President, M2 | R+2 | R+10.3 | D+8.7 | D+7.3 |
| Oct 8, 2016 | 2016 President, M1 | D+16 | D+14.8 | D+1.6 | R+1.2 |
| Sep 16, 2016 | 2016 President, ME | Even | D+3.0 | R+2.7 | D+4.1 |
| Sep 16, 2016 | 2016 President, M2 | R+11 | R+10.3 | R+0.8 | D+7.3 |
| Sep 16, 2016 | 2016 President, M1 | D+11 | D+14.8 | R+4.1 | R+1.2 |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2014 House, ME-2 | R+1 | R+5.2 | D+4.3 | D+4.1 |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2014 Senate, ME | R+20 | R+37.0 | D+16.9 | D+6.0 |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2014 Governor, ME | Even | R+4.8 | D+5.1 | D+4.2 |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2014 House, ME-1 | D+25 | D+29.8 | R+4.5 | D+11.0 |
| Nov 2, 2012 | 2012 House, ME-2 | D+4 | D+16.4 | R+12.4 | D+1.7 |
| Nov 2, 2012 | 2012 President, M1 | D+18 | D+21.4 | R+3.7 | R+3.4 |
| Nov 2, 2012 | 2012 President, M2 | D+4 | D+8.6 | R+4.6 | R+3.8 |
| Nov 2, 2012 | 2012 House, ME-1 | D+28 | D+29.6 | R+1.6 | R+0.6 |
| Nov 2, 2012 | 2012 Senate, ME | R+23 | R+17.5 | R+5.8 | D+0.5 |
| Nov 2, 2012 | 2012 President, ME | D+11 | D+15.3 | R+4.2 | R+2.3 |
| Sep 16, 2012 | 2012 House, ME-2 | D+19 | D+16.4 | D+2.6 | D+1.7 |
| Sep 16, 2012 | 2012 President, M1 | D+25 | D+21.4 | D+3.4 | R+3.4 |
| Sep 16, 2012 | 2012 President, M2 | D+7 | D+8.6 | R+1.8 | R+3.8 |
| Sep 16, 2012 | 2012 House, ME-1 | D+28 | D+29.6 | R+1.6 | R+0.6 |
| Sep 16, 2012 | 2012 Senate, ME | R+13 | R+17.5 | D+4.2 | D+0.5 |
| Sep 16, 2012 | 2012 President, ME | D+16 | D+15.3 | D+0.9 | R+2.3 |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2010 Governor, ME | R+15 | R+26.7 | D+11.7 | D+16.9 |