Loading…
Presidential vote and nonvote
Presidential vote and nonvote · Asked in 19 waves, 1948–2020 · 43,447 responses · weighted estimates computed from individual responses
Codes that include 'no Pre/Post IW' were dropped for respondents without that interview. Kept and flagged: 0 (other_missing). Codebook notes: GENERAL NOTE: See VCF0704. 1972 NOTE: Rs who voted but not for president were combined with NA.
Dashed lines mark changes in how interviews were done, which can shift answers: 1. → mixed mode (2012).
Shares of people who gave an answer. Each column is one wave, evenly spaced rather than to scale in time; hover for exact shares.
| Group | Democrat | Republican | Major third party candidate (Wallace 1968/Anderson 1980/Perot 1992,1996) |
|---|
| Poll | Field dates | Mode | Respondents | Responses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANES 2020 Time Series Study Source variable: V202110x. | 2020-08-18 to 2021-01-04 | mixed | 8,280 | 8,280 |
| ANES 2016 Time Series Study Source variable: V162062x,V162031x,V162034. | 2016-09-07 to 2017-01-09 | mixed | 4,270 | 3,671 |
| ANES 2012 Time Series Study Source variable: presvote2012_x,rvote2012_x,prevote_presvt,postvote_presvt. | 2012-09-09 to 2013-01-13 | mixed | 5,914 | 5,529 |
| ANES 2008 Time Series Study Source variable: V085044a. | 2008-09-02 to 2008-12-30 | face to face | 2,322 | 2,102 |
| ANES 2004 Time Series Study Source variable: V045026. | 2004-09-07 to 2004-12-19 | face to face | 1,212 | 1,066 |
| ANES 2000 Time Series Study Source variable: V001249. | 2000-09-05 to 2000-12-22 | mixed | 1,807 | 1,555 |
| ANES 1996 Time Series Study Source variable: V961082. | 1996-09-03 to 1997-01-02 | mixed | 1,714 | 1,534 |
Dashed lines mark changes in how interviews were done, which can shift answers: 1. → mixed mode (2012).
Shares of people who gave an answer. A group’s column is left blank in waves where its effective sample is under 50; hover for exact shares.
| Other (incl. 3d/minor party candidates and write-ins) |
|---|
| Did not vote or voted but not for president (exc.1972) |
|---|
| n |
|---|
| MoE |
|---|
| All respondents | 40% | 32% | – | 2% | 26% | 8280 | ±1 | |
| Northeast | 46% | 29% | – | 2% | 24% | 1396 | ±4 | |
| Midwest | 37% | 36% | – | 3% | 23% | 1997 | ±3 | |
| South | 35% | 34% | – | 1% | 30% | 3081 | ±2 | |
| West | 48% | 26% | – | 2% | 25% | 1806 | ±3 |
ANES 2020 Time Series Study · US citizens 18+ (face-to-face samples: contiguous 48 states and DC; web samples: 50 states and DC). Shares of people who gave an answer. n is unweighted; ± is the 95% margin of error at 50% from the weighted effective sample. Groups with an effective sample under 50 are grayed; under 20, hidden.
| ANES 1992 Time Series Study Source variable: V925609. | 1992-09-02 to 1993-01-16 | mixed | 2,485 | 2,255 |
| ANES 1988 Time Series Study Source variable: V880763. | 1988-09-06 to 1989-01-23 | face to face | 2,040 | 1,775 |
| ANES 1984 Time Series Study Source variable: V840788. | 1984-09-04 to 1985-01-24 | mixed | 2,257 | 1,989 |
| ANES 1980 Time Series Study Source variable: V800994. | 1980-09-02 to 1981-02-07 | face to face | 1,614 | 1,408 |
| ANES 1976 Time Series Study Source variable: V763665. | 1976-09-07 to 1977-01-30 | face to face | 2,248 | 1,909 |
| ANES 1972 Time Series Study Source variable: V720478. | 1972-09-01 to 1973-02-13 | face to face | 2,705 | 2,285 |
| ANES 1968 Time Series Study Source variable: V680316. | 1968-09-06 to 1969-01-28 | face to face | 1,557 | 1,392 |
| ANES 1964 Time Series Study Source variable: V640286. | 1964-09-07 to 1965-02-01 | face to face | 1,571 | 1,450 |
| ANES 1960 Time Series Study Source variable: V600201. | 1960-09-12 to 1960-12-26 | face to face | 1,181 | 1,109 |
| ANES 1956 Time Series Study Source variable: V560203. | 1956-09-17 to 1957-01-19 | face to face | 1,762 | 1,762 |
| ANES 1952 Time Series Study Source variable: V520178. | 1952-09-15 | face to face | 1,899 | 1,714 |
| ANES 1948 Time Series Study Source variable: V480018. | 1948-10-01 to 1948-12-31 | face to face | 662 | 662 |