Who will you probably vote for in the November presidential election?

2024 presidential vote intention by party, time series · Asked in 1 wave, 2024 · 3,293 responses · weighted estimates computed from individual responses

Percentages ofpeople who answered everyone asked

Crosstab

Party Ideology Age Sex Race & ethnicity Race (all years)Education Income Region Religion Community

Republican candidateDemocratic candidateSomeone elseProbably not vote

Group	Republican candidate	Democratic candidate	Someone else	Probably not vote	n	MoE
All respondents	38%	35%	10%	17%	3293	±2
Less than high school	27%	24%	11%	38%	305	±8
High school

General Social Survey 2024 · US adults 18+ living in households (English, and Spanish since 2006). Shares of people who gave an answer. n is unweighted; ± is the 95% margin of error at 50% from the weighted effective sample. Groups with an effective sample under 50 are grayed; under 20, hidden.

Answers as the source codes them

Republican candidateDemocratic candidateSomeone elseProbably not voteDon't know (non-answer)No answer (non-answer)Skipped on web (non-answer)

Waves

Poll	Field dates	Mode	Respondents	Responses
General Social Survey 2024	2024-04-05 to 2024-12-02	mixed	3,309	3,293