Loading…
2020: Do you intend to vote in the 2020 general election on November 3rd?
Asked of: Even-year pre-election respondents
Intention to vote in the general election · Asked in 7 waves, 2012–2024 · 415,162 responses · weighted estimates computed from individual responses
Harmonized across years by the Cumulative CES Common Content (Kuriwaki); response options are collapsed where years differ. See docs/sources/ces.md.
Shares of people who gave an answer. Each column is one wave, evenly spaced rather than to scale in time; hover for exact shares.
| Group | Yes, definitely | Probably | I already voted (early or absentee) | I plan to vote before Election Day | No | Undecided |
|---|
| Poll | Field dates | Mode | Respondents | Responses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooperative Election Study 2024 | 2024-10-01 to 2024-12-09 | web | 60,000 | 60,000 |
| Cooperative Election Study 2022 | 2022-09-29 to 2022-12-15 | web | 60,000 | 59,167 |
| Cooperative Election Study 2020 | 2020-09-29 to 2020-12-14 | web | 61,000 | 60,944 |
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2018 | 2018-09-27 to 2018-11-05 | web | 60,000 | 59,960 |
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2016 | 2016-09-28 to 2016-11-07 | web | 64,600 | 64,488 |
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2014 | 2014-10-01 to 2014-11-03 | web | 56,200 | 56,198 |
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2012 | 2012-10-01 to 2012-11-05 | web | 54,535 | 54,405 |
Shares of people who gave an answer. A group’s column is left blank in waves where its effective sample is under 50; hover for exact shares.
| n |
|---|
| MoE |
|---|
| All respondents | 57% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 60000 | ±0.7 | |
| AK † | 66% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 128 | ±15 | |
| AL | 69% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 8% | 901 | ±6 | |
| AR | 60% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 20% | 7% | 532 | ±7 | |
| AZ | 56% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 1495 | ±5 | |
| CA | 56% | 6% | 14% | 2% | 16% | 6% | 4900 | ±2 | |
| CO | 57% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 1055 | ±5 | |
| CT | 61% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 14% | 7% | 594 | ±6 | |
| DC | 57% | 9% | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 170 | ±10 | |
| DE | 63% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 219 | ±9 | |
| FL | 54% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 15% | 7% | 4402 | ±3 | |
| GA | 50% | 7% | 17% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 2055 | ±4 | |
| HI | 51% | 8% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 183 | ±10 | |
| IA | 60% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 615 | ±8 | |
| ID | 50% | 11% | 19% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 313 | ±11 | |
| IL | 56% | 7% | 14% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 2320 | ±4 | |
| IN | 55% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 14% | 9% | 1267 | ±5 | |
| KS | 56% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 4% | 502 | ±7 | |
| KY | 66% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 6% | 887 | ±5 | |
| LA | 53% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 8% | 709 | ±6 | |
| MA | 59% | 7% | 15% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 1119 | ±5 | |
| MD | 52% | 9% | 15% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 1068 | ±5 | |
| ME | 67% | 4% | 20% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 287 | ±7 | |
| MI | 55% | 7% | 20% | 3% | 11% | 4% | 1951 | ±4 | |
| MN | 59% | 6% | 17% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 1016 | ±5 | |
| MO | 69% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 1323 | ±5 | |
| MS | 62% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 15% | 8% | 503 | ±7 | |
| MT | 59% | 4% | 25% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 231 | ±9 | |
| NC | 48% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 1913 | ±4 | |
| ND | 53% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 114 | ±11 | |
| NE | 63% | 5% | 15% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 353 | ±9 | |
| NH | 81% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 298 | ±7 | |
| NJ | 60% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 6% | 1604 | ±4 | |
| NM | 44% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 18% | 4% | 422 | ±8 | |
| NV | 52% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 739 | ±7 | |
| NY | 61% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 6% | 3453 | ±3 | |
| OH | 53% | 6% | 16% | 4% | 16% | 6% | 2564 | ±3 | |
| OK | 65% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 701 | ±6 | |
| OR | 71% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 1009 | ±5 | |
| PA | 63% | 4% | 15% | 1% | 10% | 6% | 3040 | ±3 | |
| RI | 61% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 212 | ±8 | |
| SC | 59% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 992 | ±6 | |
| SD | 48% | 13% | 20% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 173 | ±9 | |
| TN | 54% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 1371 | ±5 | |
| TX | 52% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 4816 | ±2 | |
| UT | 58% | 7% | 12% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 507 | ±7 | |
| VA | 49% | 6% | 23% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 1611 | ±4 | |
| VT | 59% | 5% | 26% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 124 | ±12 | |
| WA | 61% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 1382 | ±4 | |
| WI | 55% | 10% | 14% | 3% | 10% | 7% | 1334 | ±5 | |
| WV | 55% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 18% | 6% | 428 | ±10 | |
| WY † | 71% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 2% | 95 | ±14 |
Cooperative Election Study 2024 · US adults 18+ (YouGov opt-in panels, sample-matched to an ACS frame and weighted). Shares of people who gave an answer. n is unweighted; ± is the 95% margin of error at 50% from the weighted effective sample. Groups with an effective sample under 50 are grayed; under 20, hidden.