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2020: Do you intend to vote in the 2020 general election on November 3rd?
Asked of: Even-year pre-election respondents
Intention to vote in the general election · Asked in 7 waves, 2012–2024 · 415,162 responses · weighted estimates computed from individual responses
Harmonized across years by the Cumulative CES Common Content (Kuriwaki); response options are collapsed where years differ. See docs/sources/ces.md.
Shares of people who gave an answer. Each column is one wave, evenly spaced rather than to scale in time; hover for exact shares.
| Group | Yes, definitely | Probably | I already voted (early or absentee) | I plan to vote before Election Day | No | Undecided |
|---|
| Poll | Field dates | Mode | Respondents | Responses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooperative Election Study 2024 | 2024-10-01 to 2024-12-09 | web | 60,000 | 60,000 |
| Cooperative Election Study 2022 | 2022-09-29 to 2022-12-15 | web | 60,000 | 59,167 |
| Cooperative Election Study 2020 | 2020-09-29 to 2020-12-14 | web | 61,000 | 60,944 |
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2018 | 2018-09-27 to 2018-11-05 | web | 60,000 | 59,960 |
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2016 | 2016-09-28 to 2016-11-07 | web | 64,600 | 64,488 |
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2014 | 2014-10-01 to 2014-11-03 | web | 56,200 | 56,198 |
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2012 | 2012-10-01 to 2012-11-05 | web | 54,535 | 54,405 |
Shares of people who gave an answer. A group’s column is left blank in waves where its effective sample is under 50; hover for exact shares.
| n |
|---|
| MoE |
|---|
| All respondents | 57% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 60000 | ±0.7 | |
| Democrats | 61% | 6% | 17% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 22982 | ±1 | |
| Independents (incl. leaners) | 48% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 21% | 10% | 20126 | ±1 | |
| Republicans | 68% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 15913 | ±1 |
Cooperative Election Study 2024 · US adults 18+ (YouGov opt-in panels, sample-matched to an ACS frame and weighted). Shares of people who gave an answer. n is unweighted; ± is the 95% margin of error at 50% from the weighted effective sample. Groups with an effective sample under 50 are grayed; under 20, hidden.