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Do you intend to vote in the 2024 general election on November 5th?
Intention to vote in the 2024 general election · Asked in 1 wave, 2024 · 60,000 responses · weighted estimates computed from individual responses
Wording from the year's CES guide.
| Group | Yes, definitely | Probably | I already voted (early or absentee) | I plan to vote before November 5th | No | Undecided | n | MoE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All respondents | 57% | 7% | 13% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 60000 | ±0.7 | |
| AK † |
Cooperative Election Study 2024 · US adults 18+ (YouGov opt-in panels, sample-matched to an ACS frame and weighted). Shares of people who gave an answer. n is unweighted; ± is the 95% margin of error at 50% from the weighted effective sample. Groups with an effective sample under 50 are grayed; under 20, hidden.
| Poll | Field dates | Mode | Respondents | Responses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooperative Election Study 2024 | 2024-10-01 to 2024-12-09 | web | 60,000 | 60,000 |
| 66% |
| 7% |
| 14% |
| 7% |
| 6% |
| 2% |
| 128 |
| ±15 |
| AL | 69% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 8% | 901 | ±6 |
| AR | 60% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 20% | 7% | 532 | ±7 |
| AZ | 56% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 1495 | ±5 |
| CA | 56% | 6% | 14% | 2% | 16% | 6% | 4900 | ±2 |
| CO | 57% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 1055 | ±5 |
| CT | 61% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 14% | 7% | 594 | ±6 |
| DC | 57% | 9% | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 170 | ±10 |
| DE | 63% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 219 | ±9 |
| FL | 54% | 6% | 15% | 3% | 15% | 7% | 4402 | ±3 |
| GA | 50% | 7% | 17% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 2055 | ±4 |
| HI | 51% | 8% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 183 | ±10 |
| IA | 60% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 615 | ±8 |
| ID | 50% | 11% | 19% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 313 | ±11 |
| IL | 56% | 7% | 14% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 2320 | ±4 |
| IN | 55% | 6% | 12% | 4% | 14% | 9% | 1267 | ±5 |
| KS | 56% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 4% | 502 | ±7 |
| KY | 66% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 6% | 887 | ±5 |
| LA | 53% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 8% | 709 | ±6 |
| MA | 59% | 7% | 15% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 1119 | ±5 |
| MD | 52% | 9% | 15% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 1068 | ±5 |
| ME | 67% | 4% | 20% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 287 | ±7 |
| MI | 55% | 7% | 20% | 3% | 11% | 4% | 1951 | ±4 |
| MN | 59% | 6% | 17% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 1016 | ±5 |
| MO | 69% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 1323 | ±5 |
| MS | 62% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 15% | 8% | 503 | ±7 |
| MT | 59% | 4% | 25% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 231 | ±9 |
| NC | 48% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 1913 | ±4 |
| ND | 53% | 11% | 14% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 114 | ±11 |
| NE | 63% | 5% | 15% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 353 | ±9 |
| NH | 81% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 298 | ±7 |
| NJ | 60% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 6% | 1604 | ±4 |
| NM | 44% | 9% | 17% | 8% | 18% | 4% | 422 | ±8 |
| NV | 52% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 739 | ±7 |
| NY | 61% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 15% | 6% | 3453 | ±3 |
| OH | 53% | 6% | 16% | 4% | 16% | 6% | 2564 | ±3 |
| OK | 65% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 701 | ±6 |
| OR | 71% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 1009 | ±5 |
| PA | 63% | 4% | 15% | 1% | 10% | 6% | 3040 | ±3 |
| RI | 61% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 212 | ±8 |
| SC | 59% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 992 | ±6 |
| SD | 48% | 13% | 20% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 173 | ±9 |
| TN | 54% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 1371 | ±5 |
| TX | 52% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 4816 | ±2 |
| UT | 58% | 7% | 12% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 507 | ±7 |
| VA | 49% | 6% | 23% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 1611 | ±4 |
| VT | 59% | 5% | 26% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 124 | ±12 |
| WA | 61% | 7% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 1382 | ±4 |
| WI | 55% | 10% | 14% | 3% | 10% | 7% | 1334 | ±5 |
| WV | 55% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 18% | 6% | 428 | ±10 |
| WY † | 71% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 2% | 95 | ±14 |