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Do you intend to vote in the 2018 midterm election on November 6?
Intention to vote in the 2018 midterm election · Asked in 1 wave, 2018 · 59,960 responses · weighted estimates computed from individual responses
Wording from the year's CES guide.
| Group | Yes, definitely | Probably | I already voted (early or absentee) | I plan to vote before November 6th | No | Undecided | n | MoE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All respondents | 63% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 11% | 9% | 59960 | ±0.6 | |
| AK † |
Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2018 · US adults 18+ (YouGov opt-in panels, sample-matched to an ACS frame and weighted). Shares of people who gave an answer. n is unweighted; ± is the 95% margin of error at 50% from the weighted effective sample. Groups with an effective sample under 50 are grayed; under 20, hidden.
| Poll | Field dates | Mode | Respondents | Responses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooperative Congressional Election Study 2018 | 2018-09-27 to 2018-11-05 | web | 60,000 | 59,960 |
| 78% |
| 4% |
| 3% |
| 0% |
| 13% |
| 3% |
| 97 |
| ±16 |
| AL | 63% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 11% | 13% | 931 | ±5 |
| AR | 54% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 9% | 521 | ±6 |
| AZ | 61% | 9% | 9% | 1% | 11% | 8% | 1588 | ±4 |
| CA | 66% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 5281 | ±2 |
| CO | 65% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 10% | 10% | 1006 | ±4 |
| CT | 66% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 6% | 661 | ±5 |
| DC † | 62% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 127 | ±15 |
| DE | 72% | 12% | 2% | 0% | 11% | 2% | 215 | ±11 |
| FL | 63% | 10% | 7% | 2% | 10% | 8% | 4407 | ±2 |
| GA | 59% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 14% | 10% | 1923 | ±3 |
| HI | 44% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 15% | 208 | ±12 |
| IA | 66% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 553 | ±6 |
| ID | 58% | 21% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 342 | ±8 |
| IL | 64% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 9% | 2419 | ±3 |
| IN | 56% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 15% | 14% | 1389 | ±4 |
| KS | 64% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 12% | 8% | 471 | ±6 |
| KY | 62% | 12% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 924 | ±5 |
| LA | 60% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 17% | 11% | 708 | ±5 |
| MA | 66% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 1187 | ±4 |
| MD | 70% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 1040 | ±4 |
| ME | 62% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 10% | 7% | 317 | ±8 |
| MI | 69% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 1908 | ±3 |
| MN | 65% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 991 | ±5 |
| MO | 71% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 8% | 1496 | ±4 |
| MS | 60% | 12% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 14% | 436 | ±8 |
| MT | 68% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 259 | ±9 |
| NC | 57% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 10% | 1813 | ±3 |
| ND | 63% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 9% | 16% | 166 | ±14 |
| NE | 60% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 348 | ±7 |
| NH | 67% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 296 | ±8 |
| NJ | 65% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 9% | 1547 | ±3 |
| NM | 65% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 11% | 390 | ±8 |
| NV | 58% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 14% | 8% | 647 | ±6 |
| NY | 68% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 10% | 3452 | ±3 |
| OH | 66% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 9% | 9% | 2561 | ±3 |
| OK | 56% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 12% | 16% | 647 | ±6 |
| OR | 70% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 912 | ±4 |
| PA | 66% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 10% | 3131 | ±2 |
| RI | 64% | 13% | 1% | 0% | 14% | 8% | 184 | ±12 |
| SC | 64% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 10% | 919 | ±5 |
| SD | 66% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 157 | ±11 |
| TN | 59% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 11% | 12% | 1312 | ±4 |
| TX | 58% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 12% | 10% | 4439 | ±2 |
| UT | 54% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 9% | 604 | ±6 |
| VA | 67% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 9% | 1744 | ±4 |
| VT | 66% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 9% | 19% | 129 | ±12 |
| WA | 63% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 14% | 6% | 1361 | ±4 |
| WI | 62% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 12% | 1231 | ±4 |
| WV | 61% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 8% | 463 | ±6 |
| WY | 76% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 8% | 102 | ±12 |