Do you happen to know which party had the most members in the U.S. Senate before the election this/last month? (IF NECESSARY: ) Which one?
Party with Senate majority before the election · Asked in 11 waves, 1982–2004 · 18,765 responses · weighted estimates computed from individual responses
Codes recoded to correct vs. incorrect for every year: the codebook's codes name the party too ('Republicans - correct', 'Democrats - incorrect'), so the categories changed whenever the Senate majority did. The party named is implied by the year: Republicans held the Senate before the 1982, 1984, 1986, 1996, 1998, 2000, and 2004 elections, and Democrats before 1988-1994. Codes that include 'no Pre/Post IW' were dropped for respondents without that interview. Dropped only in years where the codebook names a design split (alternate form, half sample, abbreviated or web instrument): 9 in 1984. Kept and flagged: 8 (dk), 9 (no_answer).
Shares of people who gave an answer. Each column is one wave, evenly spaced rather than to scale in time; hover for exact shares.
| Group | Correct party mentioned | Incorrect party mentioned | n | MoE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All respondents | 81% | 19% | 1066 | ±3 |
| Poll | Field dates | Mode | Respondents | Responses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANES 2004 Time Series Study Source variable: V045090. | 2004-09-07 to 2004-12-19 | face to face | 1,212 | 1,066 |
| ANES 2000 Time Series Study Source variable: V001357. | 2000-09-05 to 2000-12-22 | mixed | 1,807 | 1,555 |
| ANES 1998 Time Series Study Source variable: V980480. | 1998-11-04 to 1998-12-23 | mixed | 1,281 | 1,281 |
| ANES 1996 Time Series Study Source variable: V961073. | 1996-09-03 to 1997-01-02 | mixed | 1,714 | 1,534 |
| ANES 1994 Time Series Study Source variable: V941013. | 1994-11-09 to 1995-01-08 | mixed | 1,795 | 1,795 |
| ANES 1992 Time Series Study Source variable: V925952. | 1992-09-02 to 1993-01-16 | mixed | 2,485 | 2,255 |
| ANES 1990 Time Series Study Source variable: V900403. | 1990-11-06 to 1991-01-21 | face to face | 1,980 | 1,980 |
| ANES 1988 Time Series Study |
Shares of people who gave an answer. A group’s column is left blank in waves where its effective sample is under 50; hover for exact shares.
| Democrats | 86% | 14% | 328 | ±6 |
| Independents (incl. leaners) | 77% | 23% | 404 | ±5 |
| Republicans | 81% | 19% | 319 | ±6 |
ANES 2004 Time Series Study · US citizens 18+ living in households in the contiguous 48 states. Shares of people who gave an answer. n is unweighted; ± is the 95% margin of error at 50% from the weighted effective sample. Groups with an effective sample under 50 are grayed; under 20, hidden.
| 1988-09-06 to 1989-01-23 |
| face to face |
| 2,040 |
| 1,775 |
| ANES 1986 Time Series Study Source variable: V860350. | 1986-11-05 to 1987-02-07 | face to face | 2,176 | 2,176 |
| ANES 1984 Time Series Study Source variable: V841008. | 1984-09-04 to 1985-01-24 | mixed | 2,257 | 1,930 |
| ANES 1982 Time Series Study Source variable: V820525. | 1982-11-02 to 1983-01-31 | face to face | 1,418 | 1,418 |