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Support or opposition to confirming Brett Kavanaugh, asked in the 2018 and 2020 CES with slightly different framing (a hypothetical congressional vote versus a retrospective proposal).
AI-matched An AI model grouped these questions and mapped their answers onto shared categories, and a second AI review checked and corrected the grouping and mapping. No person has checked it: compare the question wordings and the answer mapping below before reading the lines against each other.
Latest: 48% answered “Support” in CES: Confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, 2020.
Shares of people whose answer maps onto these categories (non-answers and answers outside the scale are left out), because surveys differ in whether they offer “don’t know.” Each point is one survey wave at the middle of its field period. Lines from different surveys are never spliced together.
| Line | Question | Match | How answers map |
|---|---|---|---|
| CES: Vote on appointing Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court | Vote on appointing Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court Over the past two years, Congress voted on many issues. If you were in Congress would you have voted FOR or AGAINST each of the following? [Appoint Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court of the United States.] Caveat: Hypothetical vote framing ("if you were in Congress, for or against") on appointing Kavanaugh, versus a support question. | equivalent | For → Support; Against → Oppose |
| CES: Confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court | Confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court Over the past two years, Congress voted on many issues. Do you support each of the following proposals? [Confirm Brett Kavanaugh to become a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States.] Caveat: Retrospective "support proposal" framing asked in 2020; the vote had already occurred in 2018. | equivalent | Favor → Support; Oppose → Oppose |