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How likely workers say they would be to look for another job or leave if their employer kept their pay the same for a year or cut it by 1, 5, or 10 percent; each respondent gets one randomly assigned scenario, and the chart pools all of them.
AI-matched An AI model grouped these questions and mapped their answers onto shared categories, and a second AI review checked and corrected the grouping and mapping. No person has checked it: compare the question wordings and the answer mapping below before reading the lines against each other.
Latest: 27% answered “Very likely” in Fed SHED: Likelihood of seeking another job after a pay cut, 2025.
Shares of people whose answer maps onto these categories (non-answers and answers outside the scale are left out), because surveys differ in whether they offer “don’t know.” Each column is one survey wave, evenly spaced rather than to scale in time; hover for exact shares.
Shares of people whose answer maps onto these categories (non-answers and answers outside the scale are left out), because surveys differ in whether they offer “don’t know.” Each point is one survey wave at the middle of its field period. Lines from different surveys are never spliced together.
Groups differ from everyone by 8 points on average across all answers, in Fed SHED: Likelihood of seeking another job after a pay cut.
| Line | Question | Match | How answers map |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed SHED: Likelihood of seeking another job after a pay cut | Likelihood of seeking another job after a pay cut How likely would you be to actively look for another job or leave your job if your employer (kept your pay the same for a year/ decreased your pay by 1 percent / decreased your pay by 5 percent / decreased your pay by 10 percent) Caveat: Randomized scenarios (pay held flat, cut 1%, 5%, or 10%); compare only within the same scenario. | identical | Very likely → Very likely; Somewhat likely → Somewhat likely; Not that likely → Not that likely; Not at all likely → Not at all likely |
| Fed SHED: Likelihood of leaving job if employer changed policy | Likelihood of leaving job if employer changed policy How likely would you be to actively look for another job or leave your job if your employer [DOV_36_AMOUNT]? Caveat: Pay change scenario varies by version (amount is a placeholder), so results are not comparable across scenarios. | identical | Very likely → Very likely; Somewhat likely → Somewhat likely; Not that likely → Not that likely; Not at all likely → Not at all likely |
Groups differ from everyone by 4 points on average across all answers, in Fed SHED: Likelihood of seeking another job after a pay cut.
Subgroup charts are picked automatically. Of every breakdown in the data (party, ideology, age, sex, race, education, income, region, religion, and community type), these two put their groups furthest from everyone’s answers: the gap is averaged across all answer categories and waves, with each group weighted by its share of respondents. Party and ideology count as one choice, so the second chart shows a different kind of split. Groups with an effective sample under 50 in a wave are left out of that wave.