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How about the chances of our country getting into a bigger war? Compared to a few years ago, do you think we are more likely, less likely, or have about the same chances to get into a bigger war?
Likelihood of U.S. getting into a bigger war · Asked in 4 waves, 1966–1972 · 5,038 responses · weighted estimates computed from individual responses
Codebook weight: VCF0010x/VCF0010y/VCF0010z (differs from VCF0009z only in 1970). Dropped only in years where the codebook names a design split (alternate form, half sample, abbreviated or web instrument): 0 in 1972. NA code treated as not asked where it exceeds 10% of a year's answers (an unlabeled split or filter): 0 in 1970. Kept and flagged: 0 (no_answer), 9 (dk). Codebook notes: GENERAL NOTE: Weight variable VCF0010/VCF0010A must be used if distributions including 1970 data are desired: see VCF0010. Note that use of VCF0010/VCF0010A as a weight reduces the 1970 total N for this variable: form 2 whites who should appear as code 0 INAP cases are excluded from the 1970 total N.
Shares of people who gave an answer. Each column is one wave, evenly spaced rather than to scale in time; hover for exact shares.
| Group | Less likely | About the same chances | More likely | n | MoE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All respondents | 46% | 32% | 22% | 1356 | ±3 | |
| Liberals |
| Poll | Field dates | Mode | Respondents | Responses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANES 1972 Time Series Study Source variable: V720051. | 1972-09-01 to 1973-02-13 | face to face | 2,705 | 1,356 |
| ANES 1970 Time Series Study Source variable: V700045(type 1). | 1970-11-04 to 1971-01-13 | face to face | 1,507 | 834 |
| ANES 1968 Time Series Study Source variable: V680116. | 1968-09-06 to 1969-01-28 | face to face | 1,557 | 1,557 |
| ANES 1966 Time Series Study Source variable: V660039. | 1966-11-08 to 1967-02-01 | face to face | 1,291 | 1,291 |
| 43% |
| 35% |
| 22% |
| 192 |
| ±7 |
| Moderates | 53% | 32% | 15% | 286 | ±6 |
| Conservatives | 54% | 27% | 19% | 299 | ±6 |
ANES 1972 Time Series Study · US citizens 18+ living in households in the contiguous 48 states. Shares of people who gave an answer. n is unweighted; ± is the 95% margin of error at 50% from the weighted effective sample. Groups with an effective sample under 50 are grayed; under 20, hidden.